Pineto vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Pineto - Perugia
Result
3:0
19/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
94
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ,
  • 38', Giardino C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nwanege K. , Joselito ,
  • 50', Schirone L. 🟨,
  • 53', Nebuloso G. 🟨,
  • 60', Nebuloso G. , Viero F. ,
  • 60', Schirone L. , Marrancone A. ,
  • 62', Calapai L. , Yabre M. ,
  • 62', Giraudo F. , Torrasi E. ,
  • 62', Giardino C. , Ogunseye R. ,
  • 75', Borsoi M. , Ienco S. ,
  • 77', Tumbarello G. , Broh J. ,
  • 78', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Baggi F. , Gagliardi L. ,
  • 90+3', Lombardi L. , Saccomanni G. ,
  • 90+8', 3 - 0, Marrancone A. ,
  • 90+9', Marrancone A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pineto
46.6%
Draw
30.2%
Perugia
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 29.7% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 27.4% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pineto's performance.
  • Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perugia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pineto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pineto - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.36)
    3.3
    (3.08)
    4.3
    (2.9)
    0.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pineto - Perugia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pineto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Pineto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Perugia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Perugia were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Perugia - Pineto 3:0
    16.11.2024 Pineto - Perugia 3:1
    18.08.2024 Pineto - Perugia 0:2
    23.03.2024 Perugia - Pineto 2:2
    18.11.2023 Pineto - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Pineto
    11.10.2025 Pineto - Livorno 3:0
    04.10.2025 Ternana - Pineto 2:1
    27.09.2025 Pineto - Rimini 1:2
    23.09.2025 Ascoli - Pineto 3:0
    20.09.2025 Pineto - Juventus U23 2:3
    Latest results of Perugia
    11.10.2025 Perugia - Rimini 0:1
    05.10.2025 Carpi - Perugia 2:0
    27.09.2025 Perugia - Pianese 0:1
    23.09.2025 Perugia - Sambenedettese 1:2
    19.09.2025 Ravenna - Perugia 3:2
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Guidonia115248:7117
    6Forli1051411:8316
    7Campobasso1043315:10515
    8Carpi1043313:12115
    9Pineto1042415:12314
    10Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    11Juventus U231142516:18-214
    12Pianese1034310:10013
    13Gubbio103437:9-213
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini103166:12-6-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation