Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Cerretti C. ⚽,
- 29', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
- 41', Yeboah P. 🟨,
- 44', Caponi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Germinario G. ↓, Schirone L. ↑,
- 46', Capomaggio T. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Marrancone A. ⚽,
- 70', Ianesi S. ↓, Vitali P. ↑,
- 70', Yeboah P. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
- 77', Gagliardi L. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
- 79', Faggi F. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
- 86', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Wagner G. ↑,
- 90', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pellegrino A. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pontedera
33.1% | Draw
29.9% | Pineto
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pineto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pontedera - Pineto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74
(2.74) |
3.04 ↓
(3.54) |
2.46 ↑
(2.28) |
10%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pontedera - Pineto?
Users Predictions:
Pineto will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pineto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).
- Pontedera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pineto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Pineto?
Pontedera has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Pontedera?
Pineto has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Pineto were as follows:
07.09.2025
Pineto
-
Pontedera
1:1
02.02.2025
Pontedera
-
Pineto
3:2
26.09.2024
Pineto
-
Pontedera
1:1
13.02.2024
Pontedera
-
Pineto
2:3
08.10.2023
Pineto
-
Pontedera
4:1
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
