Result
26/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 9
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Progresso
13.8% | Draw
25.2% | Pistoiese
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Progresso - Pistoiese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.69 ↑
(4.85) |
3.65 ↑
(3.25) |
1.51 ↓
(1.68) |
8.6%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
- Progresso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pistoiese is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Progresso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pistoiese is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Progresso won against Pistoiese?
Progresso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pistoiese won against Progresso?
Pistoiese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Pistoiese were as follows:
19.01.2025
Pistoiese
-
Progresso
3:0
22.09.2024
Progresso
-
Pistoiese
0:2
03.03.2024
Progresso
-
Pistoiese
1:1
28.10.2023
Pistoiese
-
Progresso
2:1
Latest results of Progresso
Latest results of Pistoiese
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17:7 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Desenzano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Crema | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Piacenza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Imolese | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Correggese | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Pro Palazzolo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Rovato Vertovese | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Sangiuliano City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Tropical Coriano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | SCD Progresso | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
