Lanús vs Platense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.65
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
05
Passes
72% (232/322)82% (458/557)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.772.15
Total shots
621
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
212
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
512
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
1429
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
618
Passes
72% (232/322)82% (458/557)
Long passes
35% (19/54)63% (36/57)
Passes in final third
58% (54/93)72% (100/139)
Crosses
43% (3/7)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.83
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
186
Tackles
61% (11/18)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
3011
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.151.77
Goals prevented
1.15-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Canale Dominguez J. , Munoz E. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Acosta L. , Canelo A. (A),
  • 45+3', Vazquez I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Acosta L. , Aquino D. ,
  • 57', Watson F. N. , Salvio E. ,
  • 64', Ingenthron C. , Minerva F. ,
  • 64', Zapiola F. , Picco L. ,
  • 65', Canelo A. 🟨,
  • 66', Sanchez F. , Cardozo A. ,
  • 70', Mendez A. 🟨,
  • 74', Baldassarra F. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 78', Herrera R. 🟨,
  • 79', Bou W. , De Martis T. ,
  • 79', Canelo A. , Marcelino Moreno ,
  • 83', Schor I. , Lotti A. ,
  • 83', Herrera R. , Roldan E. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,

Chances of winning


Lanús
38.3%
Draw
34.4%
Platense
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 27.3% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26.2% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanús's form might have worsened.
  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanús, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Lanús - Platense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (1.99)
    2.78
    (3.4)
    3.49
    (3.58)
    5.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Platense?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Platense will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 31.8%72.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Platense (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Platense (1.48) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Lanús (1.98) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lanús (2.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +1 - Platense (5.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Platense (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Platense (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Platense (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Platense (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Platense (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Platense (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lanús could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Carrera R. (Muscle Injury) Castillo R. (Red Card) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury) Ramirez J. (Inactive) Romero L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Goni G. (Thigh Injury) Luna Diale M. (Muscle Injury) Picco L. (Calf Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Silva T. (Foot Injury) Toloza S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Platense: Schor I. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Platense were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Platense - Lanús 0:0
    11.11.2024 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    11.02.2024 Lanús - Platense 3:0
    14.09.2023 Platense - Lanús 2:1
    30.06.2023 Platense - Lanús 0:1
    Latest results of Lanús
    16.09.2025 Lanús - Fluminense 1:0
    30.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 3:0
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    Latest results of Platense
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)