Result
1:0
26/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Ardon C. 🟨,
- 17', Padilla O. 🟨,
- 22', Ardon C. ↓, Guity E. ↑,
- 39', Canelas J. 🟨,
- 41', Guity A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Padilla O. ↓, Jhonson P. ↑,
- 59', Morales M. 🟨,
- 62', Herrlein L. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 62', Morales M. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 62', Moreira R. ↓, Rochez J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Pena K. ⚽,
- 74', Zuniga A. 🟥,
- 77', Arriola Y. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
- 77', Urbina E. ↓, Pozantes S. ↑,
- 83', Welcome G. ↓, Castillo Y. ↑,
- 85', Pena K. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
40.1% | Draw
29.1% | Platense
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Lobos UPNFM - Platense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.08) |
3.11 ↑
(3) |
2.94 ↓
(3.1) |
10.5%
(13.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Platense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Platense (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1.
- Lobos UPNFM is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Platense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Platense?
Lobos UPNFM has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Platense won against Lobos UPNFM?
Platense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Platense were as follows:
18.10.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Platense
1:1
10.08.2025
Platense
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
