Result
0:2
17/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Macelli A. ⚽,
- 25', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 2, Caceres S. ⚽,
- 39', Otegui S. 🟨,
- 41', Sosa E. ↓, Neira I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Redin E. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 46', Barros C. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
- 70', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,
- 71', Neira I. 🟨,
- 72', Piriz F. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
- 75', Suarez M. 🟨,
- 77', Redin M. 🟨,
- 79', Ocampo M. ↓, Farias M. ↑,
- 79', Caceres S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 85', Redin M. ↓, Hernandez J. P. ↑,
- 85', Otegui S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 87', Paiva S. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plaza Colonia
24% | Draw
34.4% | Cerro
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plaza Colonia's form might have worsened.Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plaza Colonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Plaza Colonia - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.83 ↑
(2.5) |
3.8 ↑
(3) |
2.99 ↑
(2.88) |
-23%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Plaza Colonia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
- Plaza Colonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cerro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Plaza Colonia has had a series of away games.
- Plaza Colonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Cerro?
Plaza Colonia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Plaza Colonia?
Cerro has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Cerro were as follows:
13.06.2025
Plaza Colonia
-
Cerro
2:2
14.02.2025
Cerro
-
Plaza Colonia
0:1
04.12.2023
Cerro
-
Plaza Colonia
1:1
24.07.2023
Cerro
-
Plaza Colonia
0:0
08.05.2023
Plaza Colonia
-
Cerro
1:1
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
