Plaza Colonia vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Plaza Colonia - Cerro
Result
0:2
17/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
179
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Macelli A. ,
  • 25', Suarez M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Caceres S. ,
  • 39', Otegui S. 🟨,
  • 41', Sosa E. , Neira I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Redin E. , Ramos J. ,
  • 46', Barros C. , Vergara H. ,
  • 70', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,
  • 71', Neira I. 🟨,
  • 72', Piriz F. , Ocampo A. ,
  • 75', Suarez M. 🟨,
  • 77', Redin M. 🟨,
  • 79', Ocampo M. , Farias M. ,
  • 79', Caceres S. , Miranda A. ,
  • 85', Redin M. , Hernandez J. P. ,
  • 85', Otegui S. , Garcia J. ,
  • 87', Paiva S. , Cuello E. ,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
24%
Draw
34.4%
Cerro
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 30.8% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 30.2% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plaza Colonia's form might have worsened.
  • Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plaza Colonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Plaza Colonia - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.83
    (2.5)
    3.8
    (3)
    2.99
    (2.88)
    -23%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Plaza Colonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
    • Plaza Colonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cerro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Plaza Colonia has had a series of away games.
    • Plaza Colonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Cerro were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    14.02.2025 Cerro - Plaza Colonia 0:1
    04.12.2023 Cerro - Plaza Colonia 1:1
    24.07.2023 Cerro - Plaza Colonia 0:0
    08.05.2023 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 1:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Latest results of Cerro
    10.08.2025 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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