Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Castro M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Villalba D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Wurth V. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ⚽,
- 60', Cayetano A. 🟨,
- 61', Wurth V. ↓, Redin E. ↑,
- 61', Acosta B. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
- 68', Acosta L. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
- 74', Forclaz E. ↓, Mir M. ↑,
- 74', Otegui S. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
- 74', Lorenzi M. ↓, Alex Bruno ↑,
- 87', Amaro K. 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+5', Vergara H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plaza Colonia
22.2% | Draw
27.9% | Liverpool Montevideo
49.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(3.43) |
3.34 ↑
(3.3) |
1.89 ↓
(2.07) |
6.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool Montevideo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 0.
- Plaza Colonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Liverpool could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Plaza Colonia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Plaza Colonia?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
31.05.2025
Plaza Colonia
-
Liverpool Montevideo
1:1
20.04.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
1:0
14.11.2023
Plaza Colonia
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:0
15.07.2023
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
2:2
10.04.2023
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
3:1
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
