Result
0:1
10/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 26', Lorenzi M. 🟨,
- 31', Paolini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Villalba D. ↓, Maidana A. ↑,
- 49', De Los Santos M. 🟨,
- 51', Maidana A. 🟨,
- 60', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
- 61', De Los Santos M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 61', Silva G. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 65', Pachame S. ↓, Redin M. ↑,
- 65', Maidana A. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
- 75', Lemmo I. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
- 84', Wurth V. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
- 84', Lopez F. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
- 84', Silva G. ↓, Carroso H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plaza Colonia
39.5% | Draw
30.3% | Progreso
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Plaza Colonia - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.19) |
3.08 ↓
(3.18) |
3.05 ↓
(3.23) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Progreso will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progreso (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 2.
- In recent matches, Plaza Colonia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Progreso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Progreso?
Plaza Colonia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Plaza Colonia?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Progreso were as follows:
12.04.2025
Progreso
-
Plaza Colonia
1:1
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Penarol | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensor Sp | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Central Esp | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Nacional | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Boston River | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
