Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
163
Yellow Cards
62
Total shots
67
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
163

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Castro M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Villalba D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Wurth V. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ,
  • 60', Cayetano A. 🟨,
  • 61', Wurth V. , Redin E. ,
  • 61', Acosta B. , Vergara H. ,
  • 68', Acosta L. , Wasilewsky L. ,
  • 74', Forclaz E. , Mir M. ,
  • 74', Otegui S. , Ocampo A. ,
  • 74', Lorenzi M. , Alex Bruno ,
  • 87', Amaro K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vergara H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
22.2%
Draw
27.9%
Liverpool Montevideo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 28.1% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 28.1% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (3.43)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    1.89
    (2.07)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool Montevideo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 0.
    • Plaza Colonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Liverpool could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1
    20.04.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:0
    14.11.2023 Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo 0:0
    15.07.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 2:2
    10.04.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 3:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1494123:121131
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Albion1474325:16925
    4Penarol1473420:14624
    5Defensor Sp1456312:9321
    6Central Esp1463521:22-121
    7Montevideo City1455420:15520
    8Liverpool M1455420:17320
    9Nacional1461722:21119
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Cerro Largo1452714:16-217
    12Boston River1452713:18-517
    13Wanderers1452715:21-617
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1424811:21-1010
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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