Plaza Colonia vs Liverpool Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
163
Yellow Cards
62
Total shots
67
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
163

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Castro M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Villalba D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Wurth V. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Acosta L. ,
  • 60', Cayetano A. 🟨,
  • 61', Wurth V. , Redin E. ,
  • 61', Acosta B. , Vergara H. ,
  • 68', Acosta L. , Wasilewsky L. ,
  • 74', Forclaz E. , Mir M. ,
  • 74', Otegui S. , Ocampo A. ,
  • 74', Lorenzi M. , Alex Bruno ,
  • 87', Amaro K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vergara H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
22.2%
Draw
27.9%
Liverpool Montevideo
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 28.1% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 28.1% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (3.43)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    1.89
    (2.07)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool Montevideo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 0.
    • Plaza Colonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Liverpool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Liverpool could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo 1:1
    20.04.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:0
    14.11.2023 Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo 0:0
    15.07.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 2:2
    10.04.2023 Liverpool Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 3:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1182120:101026
    2Maldonado1171319:12722
    3Penarol1171317:10722
    4Central Esp1153316:13318
    5Liverpool M1144315:13216
    6Albion1144314:12216
    7Defensor Sp114439:7216
    8Nacional1151516:15116
    9Montevideo City1143414:12215
    10Danubio1135314:15-114
    11Cerro Largo1142513:14-114
    12Wanderers1142512:17-514
    13Boston River113269:13-411
    14CA Cerro112366:15-99
    15Juventud1121810:17-77
    16Progreso111469:18-97

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