Plaza Colonia vs Nacional Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
617
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
411
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 16', Redin E. , Velazquez M. ,
  • 18', Calleros Y. 🟨,
  • 32', Vergara H. 🟨,
  • 37', Boggio L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Maidana A. , Barros C. ,
  • 54', Velazquez M. , Lorenzi M. ,
  • 54', Meite Y. 🟨,
  • 61', Villalba Jaume L. M. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 72', Meite Y. , Piriz F. ,
  • 72', Vergara H. , Redin M. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ,
  • 81', Carneiro G. 🟨,
  • 85', Lodeiro N. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 90+1', Barros C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ruiz Diaz H. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lopez N. , Mereles E. ,
  • 90+8', Romero D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
13.3%
Draw
22.8%
Nacional Montevideo
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15% 24.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6% 24% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.81
    (6.18)
    4.1
    (3.75)
    1.53
    (1.54)
    4.3%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
    • Plaza Colonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Plaza Colonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
    11.09.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:2
    22.03.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:1
    29.10.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 4:0
    03.09.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 0:0
    05.07.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 4:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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