Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 14
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/283) | 73% (310/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/283) | 73% (310/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (23/75) | 28% (22/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/93) | 49% (53/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Cole R. ⚽,
- 28', Sweeney P. 🟨,
- 40', Andrew D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mitchell A. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Higgins A. ⚽, Brierley E. (A),
- 61', Edwards J. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
- 70', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 71', Higgins A. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
- 71', Wiredu B. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
- 76', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 78', Sorinola M. 🟨,
- 81', Ibrahim B. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
- 81', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 84', Cole R. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 87', Oseni O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Andrew D. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
33.6% | Draw
27.9% | Plymouth Argyle
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.39) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
2.47 ↓
(2.55) |
6.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Plymouth Argyle will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
- Exeter is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Plymouth has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cox S.
(Groin Injury)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
Szucs K.
(Knee Injury)
Watts C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Swinkels S.
(Knee Injury)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Exeter City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Exeter City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
15.04.2023
Exeter City
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:1
31.10.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
Exeter City
4:2
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
