Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
2:0
23/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 14
  • Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.56
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
61% (173/283)73% (310/425)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.180.16
Total shots
139
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
72
Free Kicks
1220
Passes
61% (173/283)73% (310/425)
Long passes
31% (23/75)28% (22/80)
Passes in final third
53% (49/93)49% (53/108)
Crosses
13% (1/8)6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.62
Throw-ins
3127
Fouls
2012
Tackles
36% (4/11)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5769
Clearances
3521
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.161.18
Goals prevented
0.16-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Cole R. ⚽,
  • 28', Sweeney P. 🟨,
  • 40', Andrew D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mitchell A. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Higgins A. ⚽, Brierley E. (A),
  • 61', Edwards J. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
  • 70', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
  • 71', Higgins A. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
  • 71', Wiredu B. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
  • 76', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 78', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 81', Ibrahim B. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
  • 81', Pepple A. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
  • 84', Cole R. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
  • 87', Oseni O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Andrew D. ↓, Woodhouse L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
33.6%		Draw
27.9%		Plymouth Argyle
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.3% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.39)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.45)    		 2.47 ↓
    (2.55)    		 6.2%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 19.1% – 73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Plymouth (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Plymouth (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Plymouth (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Plymouth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Plymouth has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Szucs K. (Knee Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Swinkels S. (Knee Injury) Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    15.04.2023 Exeter City - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    31.10.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City 4:2
    Latest results of Exeter City
    18.10.2025 Stockport County - Exeter City 1:0 ✺
    11.10.2025 Exeter City - Reading 1:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Lincoln City - Exeter City 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Exeter City - Huddersfield Town 0:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Stevenage Borough - Exeter City 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    18.10.2025 Plymouth Argyle - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle 0:4
    23.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Tottenham Hotspur U21 6:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

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          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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