Result
1:3
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 3.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/335) | 61% (175/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 3.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/335) | 61% (175/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (18/78) | 27% (15/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (74/127) | 62% (77/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Mitchell A. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
- 24', Tolaj L. 🟨,
- 24', Johnson R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ross M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, Smith A. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
- 55', Wiredu B. 🟨,
- 62', Wiredu B. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
- 62', Watts C. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 65', Stewart L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. ⚽, Harding W. (A),
- 69', Curtis R. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 71', Asiimwe N. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 71', Reeves J. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 75', Seddon S. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 3, Pepple A. ⚽, Dale O. (A),
- 81', Maycock C. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
- 85', Tolaj L. ↓, Pleguezuelo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
25.3% | Draw
26% | Plymouth Argyle
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AFC Wimbledon - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(2.95) |
3.61 ↑
(3.3) |
1.94 ↓
(2.22) |
6.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Plymouth will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Wimbledon has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Plymouth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Plymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Plymouth has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Plymouth is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Stevens M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B.
(Ankle Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Calf Injury)
Ralls J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Bugiel O.
(Inactive)
Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Johnson R.
(Inactive)
Lewis J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pepple A.
(Inactive)
Wiredu B.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Plymouth will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Plymouth Argyle?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
18.10.2025
Plymouth Argyle
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:2
21.12.2022
Plymouth Argyle
-
AFC Wimbledon
4:3
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
