Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Brisbane Road (London).

League One - Round 33
Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.05	2.04
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
4	9
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Passes
67% (215/321)	60% (156/258)
Yellow cards
4	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.05	2.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	3.12
Total shots
12	16
Shots on target
4	9
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
8	11
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
14	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
67% (215/321)	60% (156/258)
Long passes
30% (19/64)	42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
51% (52/101)	51% (55/107)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.64
Throw ins
29	30
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
56% (14/25)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
70	66
Clearances
55	54
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	3
xGOT faced
3.12	1.46
Goals prevented
0.12	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
17', Archibald T. 🟨,
20', Dale O. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, O'Neill O. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Pepple A. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Curtis R. ⚽,
59', Dale O. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
59', Watts C. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
68', Levitt D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
68', Archibald T. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
75', Oluwayemi T. ↓, Dennis W. ↑,
77', Forrester W. 🟨,
82', Fawunmi F. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
85', Pepple A. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
85', Koroma J. 🟨,
90+4', Wellens C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leyton Orient
34.4%

Draw
27.6%

Plymouth Argyle
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

27.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.33)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	2.49 ↓ (2.71)	6.8% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 10.6% – 60.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Plymouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Plymouth: Ralls J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Plymouth Argyle?

Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Leyton Orient?

Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:

02.12.2025 Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle 0:1

19.08.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient 0:1

08.08.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Leyton Orient 2:0

Latest results of Leyton Orient

07.02.2026 Stockport County - Leyton Orient 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Reading 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

14.02.2026 Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle 0:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City 1:4 ✺

31.01.2026 Stockport County - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Luton Town 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Wycombe	35	14	11	10	50:36	14	53
7	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
8	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
9	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	32	12	8	12	53:54	-1	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	34	11	9	14	39:40	-1	42
16	Mansfield	33	10	11	12	39:37	2	41
17	Burton	35	10	10	15	39:50	-11	40
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Rotherham	34	9	8	17	33:47	-14	35
23	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two