Shrewsbury Town vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/04/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 43
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
21.7%
Draw
26.6%
Plymouth Argyle
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 27.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 26.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (2.83)
    3.54
    (3.3)
    1.83
    (2.32)
    5.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 10 (23.95%), project points - 62, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (45.36%), project points - 96, currently - 86, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), a good chance of promoted (83%), a chance of win league (45%).
    • This event has small quality 25, importance 50, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 1.
    • Shrewsbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Plymouth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Plymouth have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    25.10.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Shrewsbury Town 2:1
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two