Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
1:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1612
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Doba S. ,
  • 53', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 60', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 72', Kryeziu E. , Traore S. ,
  • 72', Tkacz D. , Deja A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 81', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 81', Spacil B. , Orlik K. ,
  • 87', Famulak M. , Misiak P. ,
  • 87', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
34.4%
Draw
28.3%
Pogoń Siedlce
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.4% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.29)
    3.32
    (3.13)
    2.56
    (3)
    6.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Recent form of Górnik Łęczna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce 1:3
    26.10.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 1:1
    28.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2