Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
1:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1612
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Doba S. ,
  • 53', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 60', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 72', Kryeziu E. , Traore S. ,
  • 72', Tkacz D. , Deja A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 81', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 81', Spacil B. , Orlik K. ,
  • 87', Famulak M. , Misiak P. ,
  • 87', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
34.4%
Draw
28.3%
Pogoń Siedlce
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.4% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.5% 31.6%

Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.69
(2.29)
3.32
(3.13)
2.56
(3)
6.3%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Recent form of Górnik Łęczna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce 1:3
    26.10.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 1:1
    28.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla16122244:143038
    2Grodzisk M1584332:221028
    3Chrobry Glogow1684423:14928
    4Slask Wroclaw1583426:22427
    5Polonia Bytom1573522:16624
    6Ruch Chorzow1666425:24124
    7S. Rzeszow1673626:27-124
    8KS Wieczysta Krakow1665533:25823
    9Polonia Warszawa1665525:26-123
    10Pogon Siedlce1656521:17421
    11LKS Lodz1663724:26-221
    12Legnica1663724:33-921
    13Odra Opole1547415:17-219
    14Puszcza1639418:18018
    15Stal Mielec1634919:31-1213
    16Tychy1533921:32-1112
    17Leczna1517718:30-1210
    18Pruszkow16311216:38-2210

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2