Result
1:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Doba S. ⚽,
- 53', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
- 60', Ogaga D. 🟨,
- 72', Kryeziu E. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
- 72', Tkacz D. ↓, Deja A. ↑,
- 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
- 81', Demianiuk C. ↓, Rybak A. ↑,
- 81', Spacil B. ↓, Orlik K. ↑,
- 87', Famulak M. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
- 87', Misiak P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Łęczna
34.4% | Draw
28.3% | Pogoń Siedlce
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.29) |
3.32 ↑
(3.13) |
2.56 ↓
(3) |
6.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
- Recent form of Górnik Łęczna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pogoń Siedlce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Łęczna won against Pogoń Siedlce?
Górnik Łęczna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Siedlce won against Górnik Łęczna?
Pogoń Siedlce has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
02.05.2025
Górnik Łęczna
-
Pogoń Siedlce
1:3
26.10.2024
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Górnik Łęczna
1:1
28.02.2023
Pogoń Siedlce
-
Górnik Łęczna
0:1
Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 32:10 | 22 | 22 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Polonia Bytom | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Grodzisk M | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Odra Opole | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Pogon Siedlce | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Tychy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Legnica | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Puszcza | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Leczna | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pruszkow | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12:27 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
