Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1612
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Doba S. ,
  • 53', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 60', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 72', Kryeziu E. , Traore S. ,
  • 72', Tkacz D. , Deja A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 81', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 81', Spacil B. , Orlik K. ,
  • 87', Famulak M. , Misiak P. ,
  • 87', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
34.4%
Draw
28.3%
Pogoń Siedlce
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.4% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.5% 31.6%

Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.69
(2.29)
3.32
(3.13)
2.56
(3)
6.3%
(9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Recent form of Górnik Łęczna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce 1:3
    26.10.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 1:1
    28.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla17123244:143039
    2Grodzisk M1795336:251132
    3Polonia Bytom1894531:211031
    4Chrobry Glogow1894526:161031
    5Polonia Warszawa1885528:26229
    6Slask Wroclaw1784530:27328
    7Ruch Chorzow1876528:26227
    8S. Rzeszow1783628:28027
    9Legnica1883733:35-227
    10KS Wieczysta Krakow1775535:26926
    11LKS Lodz1773726:27-124
    12Pogon Siedlce1857621:19222
    13Odra Opole1857618:21-322
    14Puszcza1839619:23-418
    15Stal Mielec17341020:35-1513
    16Pruszkow17411218:39-2113
    17Tychy18331224:42-1812
    18Leczna1818922:37-1511

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2