Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
1:3
02/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
716
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
25
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
03
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
2027
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Spacil B. , Banaszak P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Podlinski K. , Szuprytowski D. (A),
  • 60', Pik D. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Flis M. , Mis K. (A),
  • 76', Orlik K. , Zyra P. ,
  • 76', Spacil B. , Oduko O. ,
  • 76', Janaszek F. , Litwa M. ,
  • 78', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 78', Hrnciar L. , Danielewicz K. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Podlinski K. , Famulak M. (A),
  • 89', Bykowski M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
44.5%
Draw
27.5%
Pogoń Siedlce
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.6% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 27.3% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.9)
    3.39
    (3.37)
    3.32
    (3.93)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Górnik Łęczna will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Górnik Łęczna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Pogoń Siedlce has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Górnik Łęczna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 1:1
    28.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla11004:043
    2Polonia Bytom11003:033
    3Chrobry Glogow11003:033
    4Tychy11004:313
    5Grodzisk M11002:113
    6LKS Lodz11001:013
    7Slask Wroclaw10101:101
    8Ruch Chorzow10101:101
    9Polonia Warszawa10101:101
    10Puszcza10101:101
    11Pogon Siedlce10101:101
    12KS Wieczysta Krakow10101:101
    13Legnica10013:4-10
    14S. Rzeszow10011:2-10
    15Pruszkow10010:1-10
    16Odra Opole10010:3-30
    17Leczna10010:3-30
    18Stal Mielec10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2