Pogoń Siedlce vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
49
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1020
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Warchol D. , Szota S. (A),
  • 34', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Misiak P. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Famulak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Marjanac L. , Klimek A. ,
  • 62', Jezierski J. , Banaszak P. ,
  • 62', Samiec-Talar P. , Kozak M. ,
  • 64', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 72', Llinares M. 🟨,
  • 73', Guercio T. , Rosiak M. ,
  • 73', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 73', Dzieciol E. , Pakulski D. ,
  • 81', Warchol D. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Banaszak P. , Sharabura Y. (A),
  • 85', Lemanowicz J. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Rosiak M. ,
  • 90+6', Banaszak P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
26.4%
Draw
28.3%
Śląsk Wrocław
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 28.5% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 28.7% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.4)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    2.08
    (2.14)
    7.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Pogoń Siedlce (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Pogoń Siedlce (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 2 - 50%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Pogoń Siedlce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Śląsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Śląsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2