Pogoń Siedlce vs Śląsk Wrocław – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
49
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1020
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Warchol D. , Szota S. (A),
  • 34', Podlinski K. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Misiak P. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Famulak M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Marjanac L. , Klimek A. ,
  • 62', Jezierski J. , Banaszak P. ,
  • 62', Samiec-Talar P. , Kozak M. ,
  • 64', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 72', Llinares M. 🟨,
  • 73', Guercio T. , Rosiak M. ,
  • 73', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 73', Dzieciol E. , Pakulski D. ,
  • 81', Warchol D. , Sharabura Y. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Banaszak P. , Sharabura Y. (A),
  • 85', Lemanowicz J. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Rosiak M. ,
  • 90+6', Banaszak P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
26.4%
Draw
28.3%
Śląsk Wrocław
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 28.5% 43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 28.7% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.4)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    2.08
    (2.14)
    7.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Pogoń Siedlce (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Pogoń Siedlce (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 2 - 50%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Pogoń Siedlce has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Śląsk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Śląsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2