Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1236
Shots on target
517
Corner Kicks
610
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1236
Shots on target
517
Shots off target
312
Blocked Shots
47
Corner Kicks
610
Offsides
03
Fouls
611
Goalkeeper Saves
133

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Musik M. ,
  • 34', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 36', Kaczor M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Podlinski K. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Bykowski M. , Famulak M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 3, Podlinski K. ,
  • 53', Hrnciar L. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 56', Musik M. , Bala T. ,
  • 56', Kucharski J. , Lyczko S. ,
  • 56', Pena C. , Kadziolka S. ,
  • 69', Bala T. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Synos M. , Thill S. (A),
  • 75', Kukulka K. , Simcak M. ,
  • 75', Piotrowski B. , Prokic A. ,
  • 83', Demianiuk C. , Pik D. ,
  • 83', Jakubik D. , Cassio ,
  • 88', Bykowski M. , Gryglak K. ,
  • 90+3', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 4, Pik D. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Rzeszów
50.9%
Draw
25.4%
Pogoń Siedlce
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.7% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Rzeszów's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.51)
    3.73
    (4.3)
    4.13
    (5.56)
    6.9%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 3.
    • Recent matches Stal Rzeszów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Stal Rzeszów is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 2.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów 1:1
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2