Stal Rzeszów vs Pogoń Siedlce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
2:4
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1236
Shots on target
517
Corner Kicks
610
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1236
Shots on target
517
Shots off target
312
Blocked Shots
47
Corner Kicks
610
Offsides
03
Fouls
611
Goalkeeper Saves
133

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Musik M. ,
  • 34', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 36', Kaczor M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Podlinski K. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Bykowski M. , Famulak M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 3, Podlinski K. ,
  • 53', Hrnciar L. , Dzieciol E. ,
  • 56', Musik M. , Bala T. ,
  • 56', Kucharski J. , Lyczko S. ,
  • 56', Pena C. , Kadziolka S. ,
  • 69', Bala T. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 3, Synos M. , Thill S. (A),
  • 75', Kukulka K. , Simcak M. ,
  • 75', Piotrowski B. , Prokic A. ,
  • 83', Demianiuk C. , Pik D. ,
  • 83', Jakubik D. , Cassio ,
  • 88', Bykowski M. , Gryglak K. ,
  • 90+3', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 4, Pik D. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Rzeszów
50.9%
Draw
25.4%
Pogoń Siedlce
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21.7% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Rzeszów's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.51)
    3.7
    (4.3)
    4.04
    (5.56)
    6.8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 3.
    • Recent matches Stal Rzeszów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pogoń Siedlce is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Stal Rzeszów is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Stal Rzeszów won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Rzeszów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 2.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów 1:1
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2