Result
3:3
17/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
79% (285/361) | 84% (400/475) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.10 | 1.58 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
79% (285/361) | 84% (400/475) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (30/51) | 48% (21/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (60/98) | 78% (121/156) |
Crosses |
---|
47% (7/15) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 1.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.58 | 1.10 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.42 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 31', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Olsson E. (Own goal),
- 39', 1 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Ulvestad F. ⚽, Przyborek A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 54', Przyborek A. 🟨,
- 55', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 65', Pllana B. 🟨,
- 68', Luizao 🟨,
- 69', Kapic R. 🟨,
- 69', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 79', Sezonienko K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 79', Viunnyk B. ↓, Wendt K. ↑,
- 79', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 79', Mena C. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
- 84', Przyborek A. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 3, Glogowski M. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 90+4', Koutris L. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 90+4', Grosicki K. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin 63.1% | Draw 20.8% | Lechia Gdańsk 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.49 ↓ (1.7) |
4.51 ↑ (3.9) |
5.76 ↑ (4.9) |
6.5% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
- Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lechia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kardas A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
23.11.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:3
15.04.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
01.10.2022
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1