Pogoń Szczecin vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 9
Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	2.41
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
10	9
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
87% (353/408)	77% (223/288)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45	2.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.87	3.24
Total shots
22	12
Shots on target
10	9
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
5	0
Shots inside the Box
15	8
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
45	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
87% (353/408)	77% (223/288)
Long passes
56% (27/48)	41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
74% (100/136)	53% (39/74)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	1.05
Throw-ins
13	15
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
55% (6/11)	30% (3/10)
Duels won
37	34
Clearances
17	31
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	6
xGOT faced
3.24	2.87
Goals prevented
0.24	-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', Kalahur M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Mena C. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Juwara M. ⚽,
43', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Neugebauer T. ↓, Bobcek T. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
60', Bieganski J. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
61', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
63', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
68', Kapic R. (Pen),
78', 2 - 3, Loncar D. (Own goal),
80', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
82', Molnar R. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
82', Greenwood S. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
82', Koutris L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
84', Kurminowski D. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
85', Pozo J. 🟨,
87', Kludka B. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
88', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
90+2', Viunnyk B. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 4, Sezonienko K. ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 4, Ulvestad F. (Pen),
90+8', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
56.2%

Draw
23.1%

Lechia Gdańsk
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+3%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)	4.29 ↑ (4)	4.92 ↑ (3.96)	1.8% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury)
There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B. (Inactive) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury) Tsarenko A. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Lechia: Kludka B. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:

17.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:3

23.11.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3

15.04.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1

01.10.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

13.09.2025 Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺

22.08.2025 Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze 0:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

12.09.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - GKS Katowice 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia 1:0 ✺

15.08.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk 6:2 ✺

11.08.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin 3:3 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	1	3	15:8	7	19
2	Cracovia	9	5	3	1	17:10	7	18
3	Korona Kielce	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
4	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	16:12	4	18
5	Wisla Plock	9	5	2	2	11:6	5	17
6	Legia	9	4	3	2	12:6	6	15
7	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	17:16	1	15
8	Zaglebie	9	3	4	2	20:13	7	13
9	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	17:18	-1	12
10	Motor Lublin	9	2	5	2	11:14	-3	11
11	Rakow	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
12	Widzew Lodz	10	3	1	6	13:13	0	10
13	Pogon Szczecin	10	3	1	6	14:19	-5	10
14	Termalica B-B	10	2	3	5	13:17	-4	9
15	Arka Gdynia	10	2	3	5	5:14	-9	9
16	GKS Katowice	10	2	2	6	11:21	-10	8
17	Piast Gliwice	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7
18	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	18:25	-7	6

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1