Pogoń Szczecin vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
3:3
17/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
79% (285/361)84% (400/475)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.58
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2032
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
48
Passes
79% (285/361)84% (400/475)
Long passes
59% (30/51)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)78% (121/156)
Crosses
47% (7/15)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.31
Throw-ins
2314
Fouls
84
Tackles
71% (10/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3332
Clearances
2121
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.581.10
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Sezonienko K. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 31', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Olsson E. (Own goal),
  • 39', 1 - 2, Zhelizko I. , Mena C. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Ulvestad F. , Przyborek A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kurzawa R. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 54', Przyborek A. 🟨,
  • 55', Gamboa J. , Lukasiak K. ,
  • 65', Pllana B. 🟨,
  • 68', Luizao 🟨,
  • 69', Kapic R. 🟨,
  • 69', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Koulouris E. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 79', Sezonienko K. , Glogowski M. ,
  • 79', Viunnyk B. , Wendt K. ,
  • 79', Khlan M. , Tsarenko A. ,
  • 79', Mena C. , Wojtowicz T. ,
  • 84', Przyborek A. , Lis J. ,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Glogowski M. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 90+4', Koutris L. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 90+4', Grosicki K. , Klukowski A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
63.1%
Draw
20.8%
Lechia Gdańsk
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 24.4% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 26% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.
  • Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.7)
    4.51
    (3.9)
    5.76
    (4.9)
    6.5%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
    • Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lechia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury) Kardas A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3
    15.04.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1
    01.10.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1