Result
3:3
17/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/361) | 84% (400/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/361) | 84% (400/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (60/98) | 78% (121/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.42 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 31', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Olsson E. (Own goal),
- 39', 1 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Ulvestad F. ⚽, Przyborek A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 54', Przyborek A. 🟨,
- 55', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 65', Pllana B. 🟨,
- 68', Luizao 🟨,
- 69', Kapic R. 🟨,
- 69', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 79', Sezonienko K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 79', Viunnyk B. ↓, Wendt K. ↑,
- 79', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
- 79', Mena C. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
- 84', Przyborek A. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 3, Glogowski M. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 90+4', Koutris L. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 90+4', Grosicki K. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
63.1% | Draw
20.8% | Lechia Gdańsk
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.7) |
4.51 ↑
(3.9) |
5.76 ↑
(4.9) |
6.5%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
- Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lechia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kardas A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
23.11.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:3
15.04.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
01.10.2022
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
