Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 21
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/421) | 78% (260/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/421) | 78% (260/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (109/156) | 49% (36/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 40', Navarro M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Pozo J. 🟨,
- 61', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 62', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
- 63', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Kubiak O. ↑,
- 63', Navarro M. ↓, Kocyla D. ↑,
- 64', Acosta K. 🟨,
- 65', Pozo J. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
- 73', Rusyn N. ↓, Gutkovskis V. ↑,
- 76', Koutris L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
- 77', Acosta K. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 85', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 86', Gojny D. ↓, Abramowicz D. ↑,
- 86', Grosicki K. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
- 89', Mendy B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
57.4% | Draw
23.4% | Arka Gdynia
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.69) |
4.03 ↑
(3.51) |
4.87 ↑
(4.1) |
6.7%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Arka (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Arka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
- Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Mendy B.
(Inactive)
Molnar R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Arka Gdynia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
09.08.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
02.07.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
15.11.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Arka Gdynia
1:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
