Lechia Gdańsk vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Polsat Plus Arena (Gdansk).

Ekstraklasa - Round 26
Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.62	1.23
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
15	18
Shots on target
7	7
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	9
Passes
69% (213/309)	77% (356/460)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.62	1.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.68	1.47
Total shots
15	18
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked shots
3	10
Shots inside the box
9	11
Shots outside the box
6	7
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
7	9
Touches in opposition box
19	39
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
6	10
Passes
69% (213/309)	77% (356/460)
Long passes
37% (25/67)	51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
59% (65/110)	65% (95/146)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
2.43	0.89
Throw ins
16	23
Fouls
10	6
Tackles
56% (10/18)	60% (3/5)
Duels won
54	48
Clearances
42	34
Interceptions
11	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	4
xGOT faced
1.47	1.68
Goals prevented
0.47	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Pllana B. ⚽, Zhelizko I. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Mukairu P. ⚽, Ulvestad F. (A),
43', Vojtko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
62', Cuic F. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
62', Lawa N. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
62', Acosta K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
65', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
70', Agger M. ↓, Greenwood S. ↑,
72', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
78', Loncar D. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
90+2', Cirkovic A. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lechia Gdańsk
36.8%

Draw
27.1%

Pogoń Szczecin
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.21)	3.44 ↑ (2.98)	2.58 ↓ (3.03)	7.2% (11.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lechia (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
Recent performances by Lechia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:

21.09.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:4

17.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:3

23.11.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3

15.04.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1

01.10.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

14.03.2026 GKS Katowice - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 2:2 ✺

23.02.2026 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

16.03.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Raków Częstochowa - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź 1:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia 1:0 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	31	15	10	6	56:41	15	55
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	GKS Katowice	31	14	5	12	48:42	6	47
4	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
5	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
6	Zaglebie	31	12	9	10	43:36	7	45
7	Wisla Plock	31	12	9	10	32:31	1	45
8	Pogon Szczecin	31	12	5	14	43:45	-2	41
9	Piast Gliwice	31	11	7	13	40:41	-1	40
10	Legia	31	9	13	9	35:36	-1	40
11	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
12	Korona Kielce	31	10	9	12	38:37	1	39
13	Cracovia	31	9	12	10	35:38	-3	39
14	Motor Lublin	31	9	12	10	39:46	-7	39
15	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
16	Widzew Lodz	31	10	6	15	36:38	-2	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	31	7	7	17	37:60	-23	28

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