Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Lleshaj G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Apolonia Fier
15.2%
Draw
23.1%
Pogradeci
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 28.9% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3% 28% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apolonia Fier's form might have worsened.
  • Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.96
    (3.6)
    3.91
    (3.12)
    1.47
    (1.97)
    10.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Apolonia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Apolonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 1.
    • Apolonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Pogradeci could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci 2:2
    03.11.2025 Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier 1:0
    17.02.2025 Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier 1:1
    03.11.2024 Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier 1:0
    Latest results of Apolonia Fier
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    21.02.2026 Pogradeci - Lushnja 3:1
    15.02.2026 Pogradeci - Burreli 2:0
    07.02.2026 Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci 2:2
    24.01.2026 Kastrioti - Pogradeci 2:4
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu24183346:232357
    2Laci24166241:152654
    3Pogradeci24147339:201949
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje2489723:24-133
    5Kastrioti2496930:35-533
    6Burreli2487919:27-831
    7Besa Kavaje24771026:26028
    8Korabi Peshkopi24771025:29-428
    9Apolonia Fier24661222:29-724
    10Lushnja24481221:33-1220
    11AF Luftetari243101124:35-1119
    12Kukesi24441619:39-2016

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