Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Lleshaj G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Apolonia Fier 15.2% | Draw 23.1% | Pogradeci 61.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apolonia Fier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apolonia Fier's form might have worsened.Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apolonia Fier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.96 ↑ (3.6) |
3.91 ↑ (3.12) |
1.47 ↓ (1.97) |
10.5% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Apolonia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Apolonia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 1.
- Apolonia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pogradeci could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Apolonia Fier won against Pogradeci?
Apolonia Fier has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Apolonia Fier?
Pogradeci has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Apolonia Fier - Pogradeci were as follows:
07.02.2026
Apolonia Fier
-
Pogradeci
2:2
03.11.2025
Pogradeci
-
Apolonia Fier
1:0
17.02.2025
Pogradeci
-
Apolonia Fier
1:1
03.11.2024
Pogradeci
-
Apolonia Fier
1:0
Latest results of Apolonia Fier
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 46:23 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | Laci | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Burreli | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 31 |
| 7 | Besa Kavaje | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Lushnja | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Kukesi | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:39 | -20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation