Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | FIFA+ |
Chances of winning
Besa Kavajë
13.6% | Draw
21.9% | Pogradeci
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Besa Kavajë's form might have worsened.Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-15.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.71 ↑
(3.77) |
4.17 ↑
(3.4) |
1.41 ↓
(1.85) |
9.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besa won 1.
- Besa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Besa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pogradeci is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Besa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Besa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Besa Kavajë won against Pogradeci?
Besa Kavajë has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogradeci won against Besa Kavajë?
Pogradeci has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci were as follows:
17.01.2026
Pogradeci
-
Besa Kavajë
0:0
19.10.2025
Besa Kavajë
-
Pogradeci
1:1
28.04.2025
Besa Kavajë
-
Pogradeci
0:1
15.03.2025
Pogradeci
-
Besa Kavajë
0:1
02.12.2024
Besa Kavajë
-
Pogradeci
0:0
Latest results of Besa Kavajë
Latest results of Pogradeci
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 50:23 | 27 | 67 |
| 2 | Laci | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 52:23 | 29 | 61 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Burreli | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 33 |
| 7 | Korabi Peshkopi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Besa Kavaje | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 28 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 26:38 | -12 | 22 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23:38 | -15 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
