Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian Super League Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci
Result
0:1
28/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Abissnet Superiore - Relegation - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Alidemaj F. ,
  • 45', Krasniqi J. , Vokrri S. ,
  • 45', Zguro V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ramilli M. , Spahiu E. ,
  • 46', Stafa A. , Gjinaj N. ,
  • 48', Danladi S. 🟨,
  • 52', Raza R. 🟨,
  • 82', Indio Oliveira 🟨,
  • 89', Berberi K. 🟨,
  • 90', Gabriel Castro 🟨,
  • 90', Pius F. 🟨,
  • 90', Pengu A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Vokrri S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Besa Kavajë
22.5%
Draw
28.5%
Pogradeci
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 21.3% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 20.2% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Besa Kavajë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-45.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Besa Kavajë's form might have worsened.
  • Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+38.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (+49.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-38.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.75
    (1.34)
    3.75
    (4.25)
    2.18
    (8.31)
    -6.4%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogradeci will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Besa in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Pogradeci is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Besa is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Besa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Besa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë 0:1
    02.12.2024 Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci 0:0
    11.09.2024 Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë 0:2
    Latest results of Besa Kavajë
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    24.04.2025 Burreli - Pogradeci 0:1
    05.04.2025 Valbona - Pogradeci 1:2
    30.03.2025 Pogradeci - Vora 1:0
    15.03.2025 Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1VllazniaDinamo Tirana2 : 1
    2EgnatiaPartizani0 : 0

    Final
    1VllazniaEgnatia0 : 4

    3rd place
    2Dinamo TiranaPartizani1 : 2