Besa Kavajë vs Pogradeci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian First Division Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci
Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Greca B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Beqja F. ,

Chances of winning


Besa Kavajë
38.3%
Draw
32.4%
Pogradeci
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 30.2% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 30.6% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogradeci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.7)
    2.83
    (3)
    3.14
    (2.5)
    8.9%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besa won 3.
    • Besa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogradeci is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Pogradeci has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Besa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Besa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci 0:1
    15.03.2025 Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë 0:1
    02.12.2024 Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci 0:0
    11.09.2024 Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë 0:2
    Latest results of Besa Kavajë
    04.10.2025 Iliria - Besa Kavajë 2:1
    26.09.2025 Besa Kavajë - Lushnja 1:1
    19.09.2025 Burreli - Besa Kavajë 2:1
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    15.10.2025 Pogradeci - Delvina 4:0
    27.09.2025 Kukësi - Pogradeci 1:3
    13.09.2025 Pogradeci - Laçi 1:0
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu871013:11222
    2Laci851215:51016
    3Iliria Fushe-Kruje84229:8114
    4Pogradeci833211:6512
    5Apolonia Fier83329:7212
    6Burreli83237:13-611
    7Korabi Peshkopi82427:5210
    8AF Luftetari81529:10-18
    9Lushnja81527:9-28
    10Kukesi81256:16-105
    11Besa Kavaje80446:10-44
    12Kastrioti80446:15-94

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation