Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Omondi E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ulinzi Stars
25.3%
Draw
32.6%
Police FC
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 32.1% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 31.1% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulinzi Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulinzi Stars than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Ulinzi Stars - Police FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.59)
    2.79
    (2.85)
    2.16
    (2.16)
    10.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 1.
    • Recent form of Ulinzi Stars has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Police's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Police is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ulinzi Stars won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ulinzi Stars won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulinzi Stars - Police FC were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Police FC - Ulinzi Stars 0:0
    18.04.2025 Police FC - Ulinzi Stars 0:1
    20.10.2024 Ulinzi Stars - Police FC 0:0
    04.03.2024 Ulinzi Stars - Police FC 0:0
    10.11.2023 Police FC - Ulinzi Stars 2:0
    Latest results of Ulinzi Stars
    Latest results of Police FC
    02.02.2026 Police FC - Bidco United 1:1
    28.01.2026 Bandari - Police FC 1:0
    24.01.2026 Mara Sugar - Police FC 0:1
    19.01.2026 Police FC - Nairobi United 1:1
    14.01.2026 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia25175344:182656
    2Leopards25147433:181549
    3Police FC251010522:17540
    4Shabana25117730:27340
    5Kakamega Homeboyz24109535:26939
    6Muranga25108733:27638
    7Tusker251141023:25-237
    8Bandari25713520:18234
    9KCB2597925:27-234
    10Nairobi United2396828:24433
    11Posta Rangers25710823:29-631
    12Mara Sugar24612623:23030
    13Mathare Utd25861122:24-230
    14Kariobangi Sharks255101018:28-1025
    15Ulinzi Stars25571322:30-822
    16Bidco United254101116:28-1222
    17APS Bomet25491224:33-921
    18Sofapaka25361615:34-1915

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