Police Tero vs Nongbua Pitchaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
48
Total shots
109
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Marom W. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Capistrano J. ,

Chances of winning


Police Tero
43.8%
Draw
25.9%
Nongbua Pitchaya
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.2% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.96)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    2.96
    (3.05)
    11.6%
    (13.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Police Tero will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
    28.03.2026 Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero 6:3
    09.11.2025 Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya 5:2
    02.04.2023 Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero 1:2
    28.10.2022 Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1
    Latest results of Police Tero
    Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
    Thai League 2 Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rasisalai Utd342011364:352971
    2Sisaket United341612649:311860
    3Pattani341610849:45458
    4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:59054
    5Police Tero341581150:44653
    6Chainat3412101250:46446
    7Khonkaen Utd3411121160:52845
    8Mahasarakham341291347:42545
    9Trat FC341281449:53-444
    10Chiangmai Utd341411955:58-343
    11Phrae3410131140:50-1043
    12Pattaya United3410121245:42342
    13Songkhla341181537:46-941
    14Chanthaburi3410101444:46-240
    15Nakhon Pathom341091529:37-839
    16Kasetsart349111446:49-338
    17Nakhon Si348121432:54-2236
    18Bangkok FC34981740:56-1635
    19Lampang00000:000

          Promotion ~ Thai League 1
          Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation