Result
3:3
27/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ssenjobe E. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Kaweesa D. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Rugwiro K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 2, Ishimwe D. ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 3, Mukogotya R. ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 3, Mugisha D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Police
51% | Draw
27.9% | Etincelles
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Police - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.97) |
3.3 ↑
(3.08) |
4.28 ↑
(3.7) |
9.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
- Police has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Etincelles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Police might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Police won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 2.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Etincelles?
Police has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Police?
Etincelles has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Etincelles were as follows:
04.02.2024
Police
-
Etincelles
1:1
17.09.2023
Etincelles
-
Police
1:0
21.10.2022
Police
-
Etincelles
2:1
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Police | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Marines | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Gorilla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Gasogi United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Mukura Victory Sports | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Bugesera | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rayon Sport | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Musanze | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Amagaju | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Kiyovu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Rutsiro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Muhanga | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
