Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
51.4% | Draw
30.1% | Etincelles
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etincelles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Police - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.5) |
2.99 ↓
(3.5) |
4.88 ↓
(6.7) |
10.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Etincelles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Police is the clear favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Police won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Etincelles?
Police has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Police?
Etincelles has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Etincelles were as follows:
20.12.2025
Etincelles
-
Police
0:1
27.05.2025
Police
-
Etincelles
3:3
04.02.2024
Police
-
Etincelles
1:1
17.09.2023
Etincelles
-
Police
1:0
21.10.2022
Police
-
Etincelles
2:1
Latest results of Etincelles
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 57:19 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | APR | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 36:19 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Marines | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Musanze | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 29 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 26 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 14:32 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 22 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:36 | -19 | 21 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
