Police vs Etincelles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Rwanda Premier League Police - Etincelles
Result
3:3
27/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ssenjobe E. ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Kaweesa D. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Rugwiro K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 2, Ishimwe D. ,
  • 60', 2 - 3, Mukogotya R. ,
  • 67', 3 - 3, Mugisha D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Police
51%
Draw
27.9%
Etincelles
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.4% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 28.4% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Police - Etincelles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.97)
    3.27
    (3.08)
    4.31
    (3.7)
    9.8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.
    • Police has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Etincelles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Police might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Police won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 1.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 2.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Etincelles were as follows:
    04.02.2024 Police - Etincelles 1:1
    17.09.2023 Etincelles - Police 1:0
    21.10.2022 Police - Etincelles 2:1
    Latest results of Police
    22.05.2025 Police - Kigali 1:1
    18.05.2025 Police - Vision 3:0
    11.05.2025 Police - Rayon Sports 0:1
    07.05.2025 Amagaju - Police 0:2
    30.04.2025 APR - Police 1:0
    Latest results of Etincelles
    24.05.2025 Etincelles - Bugesera 0:1
    19.05.2025 Kigali - Etincelles 2:2
    12.05.2025 Gorilla - Etincelles 2:1
    01.05.2025 Etincelles - Musanze 3:0
    27.04.2025 Etincelles - Rayon Sports 1:2
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APR30207346:172967
    2Rayon Sport30189343:172663
    3AS Kigali30147932:27549
    4Police301112738:241445
    5Mukura Victory Sports301011923:27-441
    6Bugesera3010101037:30740
    7Gorilla301171227:25240
    8Gasogi United3010101029:29040
    9Rutsiro309111030:35-538
    10Kiyovu301141532:51-1937
    11Amagaju301061429:38-936
    12Etincelles307131025:27-234
    13Musanze307131026:31-534
    14Marines30971437:46-934
    15Muhazi United30791422:29-730
    16Vision30561923:46-2321

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