Express vs Police – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
08/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
74
Total shots
109
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
55
Corner kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Kyeyune S. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Kisa Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 89', 2 - 1, Wamala H. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Kimera K. ,

Chances of winning


Express
28.6%
Draw
31%
Police
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 32% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 30.7% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Express - Police Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (3.24)
    2.91
    (2.81)
    2.23
    (2.23)
    11%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 2.
    • In recent matches, Express has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Police's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Express may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Police will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Express won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Express won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Express - Police were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Police - Express 2:1
    13.03.2025 Express - Police 1:2
    16.10.2024 Police - Express 2:2
    Latest results of Express
    05.04.2026 Kitara - Express 1:0
    07.03.2026 Villa - Express 0:0
    04.03.2026 Express - Maroons 1:1
    Latest results of Police
    13.03.2026 Police - NEC FC 0:1
    10.03.2026 Police - Villa 1:0
    03.03.2026 Police - Bul 0:2
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers26178149:163359
    2Kitara26166438:152354
    3Kampala City26164637:201752
    4Villa26156538:142451
    5NEC FC261112326:161045
    6Police26135839:31844
    7Entebbe UPPC26127723:19443
    8BUL26971029:28134
    9Maroons26810825:21434
    10Express26791023:27-430
    11URA SC26413922:28-625
    12Lugazi26581319:34-1523
    13UPDF26561522:35-1321
    14Mbarara City26491321:39-1821
    15Buhimba26431916:56-4015
    16Calvary26271710:38-2813

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