Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Muhanga 13.3% | Draw 25.9% | Police 60.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muhanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Muhanga - Police Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.81 ↑ (5.16) |
3.49 ↑ (3.2) |
1.49 ↓ (1.67) |
10.5% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Muhanga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Police is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Police?
Muhanga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Muhanga?
Police has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Police were as follows:
05.10.2025
Police
-
Muhanga
1:0
Latest results of Muhanga
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation