Fiorentina vs Polissya Zhytomyr – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr
Result
3:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.19
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (260/339)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.10
Total shots
145
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
153
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (260/339)
Long passes
53% (25/47)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
75% (77/103)54% (30/56)
Crosses
23% (5/22)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.12
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
315
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5334
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.102.59
Goals prevented
-0.90-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ,
  • 14', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ,
  • 45', Talles Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ndour C. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 46', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 56', Talles Costa , Lednev B. ,
  • 65', Comuzzo P. , Pongracic M. ,
  • 65', Mandragora R. , Sohm S. ,
  • 68', Filippov O. , Gayduchyk M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Dodo , Gosens R. (A),
  • 81', Babenko R. , Karaman Y. ,
  • 81', Nazarenko O. , Goncalves A. ,
  • 81', Kravchenko M. , Korniychuk S. ,
  • 84', Karaman Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Viti M. , Ranieri L. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Ranieri L. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Dzeko E. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
72.3%
Draw
17.3%
Polissya Zhytomyr
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.2% 15.2% 7.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.18)
    5.61
    (6)
    9.56
    (12)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
    • Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Polissya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Polissya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)