Result
3:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/545) | 77% (260/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/545) | 77% (260/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (77/103) | 54% (30/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ⚽,
- 45', Talles Costa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Ndour C. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
- 46', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
- 56', Talles Costa ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
- 65', Comuzzo P. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
- 65', Mandragora R. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
- 68', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Dodo ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
- 81', Babenko R. ↓, Karaman Y. ↑,
- 81', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
- 81', Kravchenko M. ↓, Korniychuk S. ↑,
- 84', Karaman Y. 🟨,
- 86', Viti M. ↓, Ranieri L. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Ranieri L. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
- 89', 3 - 2, Dzeko E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fiorentina
72.3% | Draw
17.3% | Polissya Zhytomyr
10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.18) |
5.61 ↓
(6) |
9.56 ↓
(12) |
1.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Polissya (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Fiorentina (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Fiorentina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Fiorentina (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Polissya (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
- Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Polissya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Polissya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Polissya Zhytomyr?
Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Fiorentina?
Polissya Zhytomyr has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
21.08.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Fiorentina
0:3
Latest results of Fiorentina
Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
