Fiorentina vs Polissya Zhytomyr – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr
Result
3:2
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.19
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (260/339)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.10
Total shots
145
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
153
Passes
87% (475/545)77% (260/339)
Long passes
53% (25/47)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
75% (77/103)54% (30/56)
Crosses
23% (5/22)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.12
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
315
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5334
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.102.59
Goals prevented
-0.90-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Nazarenko O. ,
  • 14', 0 - 2, Andriyevski O. ,
  • 45', Talles Costa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Ndour C. , Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 46', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 56', Talles Costa , Lednev B. ,
  • 65', Comuzzo P. , Pongracic M. ,
  • 65', Mandragora R. , Sohm S. ,
  • 68', Filippov O. , Gayduchyk M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Dodo , Gosens R. (A),
  • 81', Babenko R. , Karaman Y. ,
  • 81', Nazarenko O. , Goncalves A. ,
  • 81', Kravchenko M. , Korniychuk S. ,
  • 84', Karaman Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Viti M. , Ranieri L. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Ranieri L. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 2, Dzeko E. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
72.3%
Draw
17.3%
Polissya Zhytomyr
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.2% 15.2% 7.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.18)
    5.61
    (6)
    9.56
    (12)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 60.6%97.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.
    • Recent performances by Fiorentina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Polissya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Polissya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - Fiorentina 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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