Result
3:2
13/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Gayduchyk M. ⚽, Gutsulyak O. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Gutsulyak O. ⚽, Nazarenko O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Paulo V. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
- 47', Jean Pedroso 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 0, Bragaru M. ⚽, Gutsulyak O. (A),
- 54', 3 - 1, Mykhaylichenko B. (Own goal),
- 60', Polegenko P. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
- 60', Neves I. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
- 75', Bragaru M. ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
- 75', Shepelev V. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
- 75', Gayduchyk M. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
- 82', Tanda P. 🟨,
- 85', Bruninho ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
- 85', Tanda P. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Krasnopir I. ⚽,
- 89', Nazarenko O. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 90+2', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Joao Vialle ↑,
Chances of winning
Polissya Zhytomyr
46% | Draw
32.1% | Karpaty Lviv
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2) |
2.94 ↓
(3.41) |
4.31 ↑
(3.78) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Karpaty will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polissya Zhytomyr will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Karpaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Polissya will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polissya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Karpaty Lviv?
Polissya Zhytomyr has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karpaty Lviv won against Polissya Zhytomyr?
Karpaty Lviv has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv were as follows:
03.08.2025
Karpaty Lviv
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
0:2
07.04.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Karpaty Lviv
1:1
12.02.2025
Karpaty Lviv
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
0:3
28.09.2024
Karpaty Lviv
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
1:3
27.11.2022
Karpaty Lviv
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
1:2
Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LNZ Cherkasy | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 33:12 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 51:12 | 39 | 50 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 37:15 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 49:24 | 25 | 41 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Kryvbas | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 30:27 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Karpaty Lviv | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 10 | Obolon | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20:36 | -16 | 25 |
| 11 | Veres-Rivne | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 16:35 | -19 | 19 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 12 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
