Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya Luhansk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14
  • Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineUPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
34
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
412
Fouls
134

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Gutsulyak O. , Veleten V. (A),
  • 38', Popara D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Popara D. , Micin P. ,
  • 64', Andriyevski O. , Tomandzoto B. ,
  • 64', Veleten V. , Nazarenko O. ,
  • 72', Janjic A. , Basic J. ,
  • 72', Malysh N. , Salenko R. ,
  • 76', Gayduchyk M. , Filippov O. ,
  • 76', Bragaru M. , Yosefi T. ,
  • 84', Krushynskyi B. 🟨,
  • 85', Gutsulyak O. , Beskorovaynyi D. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Nazarenko O. ,
  • 90+4', Nazarenko O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polissya Zhytomyr
47.4%
Draw
28.4%
Zorya Luhansk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 26.7% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polissya Zhytomyr's form might have worsened.
  • Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polissya Zhytomyr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.66)
    3.32
    (3.35)
    3.88
    (4.6)
    6.1%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Zorya will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Polissya (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Polissya (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Polissya is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polissya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polissya won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Zorya Luhansk - Polissya Zhytomyr 0:1
    25.11.2024 Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk 1:1
    05.05.2024 Polissya Zhytomyr - Zorya Luhansk 1:1
    28.10.2023 Zorya Luhansk - Polissya Zhytomyr 0:1
    Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
    Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk25186159:164360
    2LNZ Cherkasy25164536:162052
    3Polissya Zhytomyr25154644:172749
    4Dyn. Kyiv25145658:312747
    5Metalist 192525129431:141745
    6Kolos Kovalivka251010524:21340
    7Kryvbas25117743:38540
    8Karpaty Lviv2599735:26936
    9FK Zorya Luhansk2598835:32335
    10Veres-Rivne25781022:31-929
    11Obolon25681122:42-2026
    12Epitsentr25741427:37-1025
    13Kudrivka25561426:42-1621
    14Rukh Lviv25621717:42-2520
    15Oleksandriya25271618:49-3113
    16SC Poltava25251820:63-4311

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga