Result
2:1
14/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Duna World / M4 Sport + |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (207/332) | 75% (360/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (207/332) | 75% (360/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (35/96) | 44% (38/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (91/169) | 70% (69/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/43) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.40 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
- 19', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
- 38', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Szabo J. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 0, Toth B. ⚽, Bode D. (A),
- 56', Lednev B. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
- 56', Beskorovaynyi D. ↓, Chobotenko S. ↑,
- 56', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
- 69', Haraszti Z. ↓, Papp K. ↑,
- 69', Bode D. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
- 79', Szekszardi M. ↓, Lenzser B. ↑,
- 79', Windecker J. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 80', Volynets Y. 🟨,
- 87', Hinora K. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
- 89', Nazarenko O. ↓, Goncalves A. ↑,
- 89', Osvath A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Goncalves A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
44.1% | Draw
26.4% | Polissya Zhytomyr
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.06) |
3.5 ↓
(3.55) |
3.18 ↓
(3.28) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 50.8% – 88.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Polissya (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.
- Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Polissya Zhytomyr?
Paksi SE has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Paksi SE?
Polissya Zhytomyr has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
07.08.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Paksi SE
3:0
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
