Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
22/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
511
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Szymusik G. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Pisek J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 1, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 1, Gajda T. , Calavera J. (A),
  • 66', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 69', Szymusik G. , Matic M. ,
  • 69', Andrzejczak K. , Kwiatkowski O. ,
  • 69', Calavera J. , Apolinarski J. ,
  • 70', Arak J. , Wojtyra K. ,
  • 70', Domanski M. , Losada M. ,
  • 72', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 77', Labojko M. , Bakala M. ,
  • 77', Kruszelnicki P. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 82', Fucak K. , Odolak K. ,
  • 82', Pisek J. , Niedzwiedz N. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Bytom
55.5%
Draw
23.8%
Stal Mielec
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.6% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.49
    (4.4)
    8.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Polonia Bytom is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Polonia Bytom
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2