Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
22/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
511
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Szymusik G. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Pisek J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 1, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 1, Gajda T. , Calavera J. (A),
  • 66', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 69', Szymusik G. , Matic M. ,
  • 69', Andrzejczak K. , Kwiatkowski O. ,
  • 69', Calavera J. , Apolinarski J. ,
  • 70', Arak J. , Wojtyra K. ,
  • 70', Domanski M. , Losada M. ,
  • 72', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 77', Labojko M. , Bakala M. ,
  • 77', Kruszelnicki P. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 82', Fucak K. , Odolak K. ,
  • 82', Pisek J. , Niedzwiedz N. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Bytom
55.5%
Draw
23.8%
Stal Mielec
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.6% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.49
    (4.4)
    8.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Polonia Bytom is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Polonia Bytom
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla27168361:273456
    2Slask Wroclaw27138651:401147
    3Chrobry Glogow27136839:261345
    4Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    5Ruch Chorzow27119741:37442
    6LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    7Polonia Warszawa27118843:39441
    8Wieczysta Krakow26117852:401240
    9Legnica27117945:45040
    10S. Rzeszow271161040:42-239
    11Puszcza27911737:33438
    12Polonia Bytom26107940:33737
    13Odra Opole27810927:33-634
    14Pogon Siedlce27791127:31-430
    15Stal Mielec27751537:52-1526
    16Pruszkow27651629:52-2323
    17Leczna273111332:49-1720
    18Tychy27361831:60-2915

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2