Polonia Warsaw vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
104
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Durmus I. , Dadok R. (A),
  • 19', Adkonis J. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Dadok R. , Skrabb S. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 1, Adamski R. , Kargulewicz K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wojciechowski O. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 57', Jaron D. , Korczakowski I. ,
  • 60', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 63', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 72', Dadok R. , Vega D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 72', Kargulewicz K. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 76', Salihu H. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,
  • 80', Adkonis J. , Lis J. ,
  • 82', Brasido D. , Mlynski M. ,
  • 82', Skrabb S. , Gnaase D. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
48.7%
Draw
23.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 22.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 22.4% 28.9%

Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.91
(1.91)
3.88
(4.16)
3.35
(3.22)
8.1%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla17123244:143039
    2Grodzisk M1795336:251132
    3Polonia Bytom1793529:191030
    4Chrobry Glogow1784524:16828
    5Slask Wroclaw1784530:27328
    6S. Rzeszow1783628:28027
    7KS Wieczysta Krakow1775535:26926
    8Polonia Warszawa1775526:26026
    9Ruch Chorzow1766526:26024
    10LKS Lodz1773726:27-124
    11Legnica1773727:34-724
    12Pogon Siedlce1757521:17422
    13Odra Opole1757518:19-122
    14Puszcza1739519:21-218
    15Stal Mielec17341020:35-1513
    16Pruszkow17411218:39-2113
    17Tychy17331123:36-1312
    18Leczna1717920:35-1510

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2