Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Durmus I. ⚽, Dadok R. (A),
- 19', Adkonis J. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Dadok R. ⚽, Skrabb S. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Kargulewicz K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
- 57', Jaron D. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
- 60', Poczobut B. 🟨,
- 63', Salihu H. 🟨,
- 72', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
- 72', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
- 72', Kargulewicz K. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 76', Salihu H. ↓, Grudniewski M. ↑,
- 80', Olewinski O. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
- 80', Adkonis J. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 82', Brasido D. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
- 82', Skrabb S. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw
48.7% | Draw
23.6% | Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.91) |
3.88 ↓
(4.16) |
3.35 ↑
(3.22) |
8.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Grodzisk Mazowiecki (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Polonia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Polonia Warsaw?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 53:18 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Chrobry Glogow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Grodzisk M | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39:29 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | S. Rzeszow | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Legnica | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Leczna | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 15 |
| 17 | Tychy | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | Stal Mielec | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 25:48 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
