Polonia Warsaw vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
104
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Durmus I. , Dadok R. (A),
  • 19', Adkonis J. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Dadok R. , Skrabb S. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 1, Adamski R. , Kargulewicz K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wojciechowski O. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 57', Jaron D. , Korczakowski I. ,
  • 60', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 63', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 72', Dadok R. , Vega D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 72', Kargulewicz K. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 76', Salihu H. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,
  • 80', Adkonis J. , Lis J. ,
  • 82', Brasido D. , Mlynski M. ,
  • 82', Skrabb S. , Gnaase D. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
48.7%
Draw
23.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 22.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 22.4% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)
    3.88
    (4.16)
    3.35
    (3.22)
    8.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Pogon Siedlce83328:5312
    6Polonia Warszawa833214:14012
    7Grodzisk M832315:12311
    8LKS Lodz832313:12111
    9Tychy832314:14011
    10S. Rzeszow832313:13011
    11Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    12Chrobry Glogow824211:9210
    13Ruch Chorzow824211:10110
    14Legnica831413:17-410
    15Odra Opole82336:10-49
    16Puszcza80627:9-26
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow81078:26-183

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2