Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 1 |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 4 |
Offsides |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 14 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 11 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Durmus I. ⚽, Dadok R. (A),
- 19', Adkonis J. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Dadok R. ⚽, Skrabb S. (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Kargulewicz K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
- 57', Jaron D. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
- 60', Poczobut B. 🟨,
- 63', Salihu H. 🟨,
- 72', Dadok R. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
- 72', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
- 72', Kargulewicz K. ↓, Jedrasik J. ↑,
- 76', Salihu H. ↓, Grudniewski M. ↑,
- 80', Olewinski O. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
- 80', Adkonis J. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 82', Brasido D. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
- 82', Skrabb S. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw 48.7% | Draw 23.6% | Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (1.91) |
3.88 ↓ (4.16) |
3.35 ↑ (3.22) |
8.1% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
Polonia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won against Polonia Warsaw?
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki were as follows:
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 18 |
2 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
3 | Slask Wroclaw | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
4 | Polonia Bytom | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
5 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Polonia Warszawa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
7 | Grodzisk M | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 11 |
8 | LKS Lodz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Tychy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
10 | S. Rzeszow | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Stal Mielec | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
12 | Chrobry Glogow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
13 | Ruch Chorzow | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
14 | Legnica | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 10 |
15 | Odra Opole | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Puszcza | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Leczna | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Pruszkow | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2