Termalica Nieciecza vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw
Result
0:3
14/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
30
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
00
Fouls
1914
Goalkeeper Saves
08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Szur P. , Hoxhallari E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Zjawinski L. ,
  • 52', Trubeha A. , Karasek K. ,
  • 69', Wojciechowski O. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 69', Vega D. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 71', 0 - 3, Bajdur M. , Durmus I. (A),
  • 72', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 72', Spendlhofer L. , Kubica K. ,
  • 72', Hilbrycht D. , Wrobel J. ,
  • 79', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 80', Zjawinski L. , Spiewak K. ,
  • 80', Durmus I. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 89', Kolodziejski M. , Cisse S. ,
  • 90+2', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
47.9%
Draw
26.8%
Polonia Warsaw
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 24.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 26.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termalica Nieciecza's form might have worsened.
  • Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termalica Nieciecza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.75)
    3.44
    (3.75)
    3.66
    (4.23)
    8.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Termalica is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Polonia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Termalica is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Termalica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Termalica won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 0:1
    05.05.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw 2:2
    04.11.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:1
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla861130:92119
    2Slask Wroclaw952215:13217
    3Polonia Bytom951314:12216
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    5S. Rzeszow942314:13114
    6Chrobry Glogow934213:10313
    7Ruch Chorzow934213:11213
    8Polonia Warszawa934215:15013
    9Pogon Siedlce93339:7212
    10Grodzisk M832315:12311
    11LKS Lodz932414:14011
    12Tychy932415:16-111
    13Legnica932414:18-411
    14Stal Mielec832312:17-511
    15Odra Opole92438:12-410
    16Puszcza90637:11-46
    17Leczna80539:17-85
    18Pruszkow91088:27-193

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2