Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24
  • Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Offsides
12
Fouls
1619
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1520

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Gaska D. 🟨,
  • 33', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. , Durmus I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Markov I. , Plesnierowicz W. ,
  • 53', Koton K. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Vasin N. , Terpilowski E. (A),
  • 59', Gaska D. , Shibata S. ,
  • 59', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 65', Drzazga K. , Feliks M. ,
  • 68', Kielb J. 🟨,
  • 70', Vega D. , Mlynski M. ,
  • 70', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 72', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Plesnierowicz W. , Szeliga B. (A),
  • 76', Vasin N. , Wojciechowski O. ,
  • 76', Durmus I. , Spiewak K. ,
  • 81', Rajsel N. , Firlej M. ,
  • 85', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
  • 89', Grudniewski M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Michalski K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
30.8%
Draw
29.1%
Polonia Warsaw
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 30.1% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 30.3% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.02
    (2.71)
    3.18
    (3.11)
    2.32
    (2.64)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Polonia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Warta Poznań 2:0
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla550023:51815
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow541014:31113
    3Grodzisk M732214:10411
    4Slask Wroclaw632111:7411
    5Tychy632113:11211
    6LKS Lodz731312:11110
    7Chrobry Glogow723211:929
    8Polonia Warszawa723212:13-19
    9Polonia Bytom63037:8-19
    10Pogon Siedlce62227:528
    11Ruch Chorzow62228:718
    12Odra Opole62225:7-28
    13S. Rzeszow72239:13-48
    14Legnica721411:17-67
    15Stal Mielec62139:15-67
    16Puszcza60427:9-24
    17Leczna60427:11-44
    18Pruszkow60066:25-190

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2