Polvorín vs Paiosaco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Polvorín - Paiosaco
Result
3:0
21/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Polvorín
49.2%
Draw
29.2%
Paiosaco
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 30.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 30.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polvorín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polvorín's performance.
  • Paiosaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paiosaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paiosaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polvorín - Paiosaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.23)
    3.08
    (2.99)
    4.15
    (3.19)
    11.2%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Polvorín is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Paiosaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Polvorín will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    Latest results of Polvorín
    14.01.2024 Barbadás - Polvorín 1:1
    07.01.2024 Polvorín - Arzúa 2:0
    17.12.2023 Gran Peña - Polvorín 1:0
    26.11.2023 Viveiro - Polvorín 2:0
    Latest results of Paiosaco
    14.01.2024 Paiosaco - UD Ourense 0:1
    07.01.2024 Paiosaco - Barbadás 0:0
    16.12.2023 Pontevedra B - Paiosaco 1:3
    03.12.2023 Paiosaco - Arzúa 2:1
    26.11.2023 Bergantiños - Paiosaco 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2