Pontevedra vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pontevedra
39.6%
Draw
31.3%
Ponferradina
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 31.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 32.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Pontevedra - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.29)
    2.91
    (2.99)
    3.11
    (3.27)
    9.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pontevedra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontevedra - Ponferradina were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation