Ponferradina vs Zamora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez S. , Buron L. ,
  • 61', Claveria P. , Sancho J. ,
  • 61', Kike , Ramos C. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 69', Buron L. 🟨,
  • 73', Keita A. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 75', Eslava J. , Farrell J. ,
  • 79', Lopez A. , Vazquez B. ,
  • 79', Cortes J. , Sousa V. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Lucero R. , Romero Morillo A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Fernandez X. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.8%
Draw
30.8%
Zamora
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Zamora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.03
    (3.14)
    3.25
    (3.69)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Zamora?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Zamora were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Zamora - Ponferradina 1:2
    03.11.2024 Ponferradina - Zamora 2:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Zamora
    12.10.2025 Zamora - Real Avilés 2:3
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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