Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Claveria P. 🟨,
- 37', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Esquerdo V. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 57', Cortes J. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Lucero R. ⚽,
- 62', 🟨,
- 63', Claveria P. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
- 63', Tresaco R. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
- 63', Sibille K. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
- 63', Mula A. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
- 75', Pito Camacho ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
- 75', Valle B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Ferrer P. ⚽,
- 80', Macho G. 🟨,
- 85', Nieto S. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
- 90', Castaneda J. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Lozano M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zamora
30.6% | Draw
30.9% | Ponferradina
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zamora - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.32) |
2.98 ↓
(3.11) |
2.39 ↓
(3.04) |
8.9%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Zamora won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Ponferradina?
Zamora has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Zamora?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Ponferradina were as follows:
03.11.2024
Ponferradina
-
Zamora
2:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Antequera | Ponferradina | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | UD Ibiza | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | Murcia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Merida AD | Real Sociedad B | 1 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ponferradina | Andorra | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Gimnastic | Real Sociedad B | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
