Ponferradina vs Zamora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - Zamora
Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez S. , Buron L. ,
  • 61', Claveria P. , Sancho J. ,
  • 61', Kike , Ramos C. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 69', Buron L. 🟨,
  • 73', Keita A. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 75', Eslava J. , Farrell J. ,
  • 79', Lopez A. , Vazquez B. ,
  • 79', Cortes J. , Sousa V. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Lucero R. , Romero Morillo A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Fernandez X. ,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.8%
Draw
30.8%
Zamora
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Zamora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.03
    (3.14)
    3.25
    (3.69)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Zamora were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Zamora - Ponferradina 1:2
    03.11.2024 Ponferradina - Zamora 2:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Zamora
    12.10.2025 Zamora - Real Avilés 2:3
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife861116:41219
    2Racing Club Ferrol852112:7517
    3Celta Vigo B842210:6414
    4Real Aviles741214:13113
    5Guadalajara833210:8212
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Barakaldo82519:8111
    8Lugo83236:5111
    9Pontevedra83238:9-111
    10Ponferradina831410:9110
    11Osasuna B82426:7-110
    12Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    13Zamora82338:9-19
    14Arenteiro82337:8-19
    15Unionistas83058:10-29
    16Merida AD830510:15-59
    17CF Talavera72237:8-18
    18Arenas Getxo82248:14-68
    19Cacereno71426:8-27
    20Ourense CF80445:12-74

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