Ponferradina vs Zamora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez S. , Buron L. ,
  • 61', Claveria P. , Sancho J. ,
  • 61', Kike , Ramos C. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 69', Buron L. 🟨,
  • 73', Keita A. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 75', Eslava J. , Farrell J. ,
  • 79', Lopez A. , Vazquez B. ,
  • 79', Cortes J. , Sousa V. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Lucero R. , Romero Morillo A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Fernandez X. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.8%
Draw
30.8%
Zamora
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Zamora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.03
    (3.14)
    3.25
    (3.69)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Zamora?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Zamora were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Zamora - Ponferradina 1:2
    03.11.2024 Ponferradina - Zamora 2:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Zamora
    12.10.2025 Zamora - Real Avilés 2:3
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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