Ponferradina vs Zamora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
68
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ,
  • 42', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lopez S. , Buron L. ,
  • 61', Claveria P. , Sancho J. ,
  • 61', Kike , Ramos C. ,
  • 61', San Emeterio F. , Valle B. ,
  • 69', Buron L. 🟨,
  • 73', Keita A. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 75', Eslava J. , Farrell J. ,
  • 79', Lopez A. , Vazquez B. ,
  • 79', Cortes J. , Sousa V. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', Lucero R. , Romero Morillo A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Fernandez X. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
40.8%
Draw
30.8%
Zamora
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 29.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 28% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Ponferradina - Zamora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.03
    (3.14)
    3.25
    (3.69)
    7.6%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Zamora?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ponferradina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ponferradina could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Zamora were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Zamora - Ponferradina 1:2
    03.11.2024 Ponferradina - Zamora 2:2
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Zamora
    12.10.2025 Zamora - Real Avilés 2:3
    04.10.2025 Tenerife - Zamora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Arenteiro - Zamora 0:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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