Result
02/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Zamora
41.5% | Draw
30.4% | Ponferradina
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Zamora - Ponferradina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.18) |
2.99 ↓
(3.19) |
3.24 ↓
(3.28) |
9.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).
- Zamora is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ponferradina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zamora could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Ponferradina?
Zamora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Zamora?
Ponferradina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Ponferradina were as follows:
19.10.2025
Ponferradina
-
Zamora
2:0
12.04.2025
Zamora
-
Ponferradina
1:2
03.11.2024
Ponferradina
-
Zamora
2:2
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
