Result
1:2
19/02/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TV Record, UOL Play, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Montenegro | Arena Premium 3 |
 North-macedonia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (576/636) | 76% (205/270) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 77% (117/151) | 56% (49/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 11% (1/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 82% (14/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Danilo Barcelos 🟨,
- 24', Jean Dias 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Oscar (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Artur ⚽,
- 55', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 60', Serginho ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Everton Brito ⚽, Artur (A),
- 62', Igor Vinicius ↓, Erick ↑,
- 62', Bobadilla D. ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 74', Maguinho ↓, Pacheco ↑,
- 74', Everton Brito ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
- 75', Diaz E. ↓, Wendell ↑,
- 75', Luciano ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
- 84', Sergio Raphael ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
- 84', Leo Oliveira ↓, Concha V. ↑,
- 85', Franco A. ↓, Cedric ↑,
- 90+2', Cedric 🟨,
- 90+6', Gustavo Lopes 🟨,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
65.2% | Draw
21.9% | Ponte Preta
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
São Paulo - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.39) |
4.18 ↓
(4.33) |
7.27 ↓
(7.93) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- São Paulo is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ponte Preta is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Ponte Preta?
São Paulo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against São Paulo?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Ponte Preta were as follows:
10.02.2024
Ponte Preta
-
São Paulo
2:0
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
