Result
2:1
11/11/2024 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 551 | 358 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 483 | 274 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Elvis (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 1, Alesson ⚽, Junior Todinho (A),
- 44', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Emerson Santos ↓,
- 57', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 57', Iago Dias 🟥,
- 59', Joao Lucas ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 61', Elvis ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
- 66', Emerson Urso ↓, Caique ↑,
- 71', Hudson ↓, Castro ↑,
- 76', Rian ↓, Apodi ↑,
- 76', Junior Todinho ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
- 76', Arilson ↓, Du Fernandes ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Alesson ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
- 86', Luiz Felipe ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 87', Renato 🟨,
- 87', Renato ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 88', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 90', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 90+2', Nilson Junior 🟨,
- 90+5', Dodo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
48.1% | Draw
28.7% | Ponte Preta
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vila Nova - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.74) |
3.27 ↓
(3.48) |
4.01 ↓
(4.67) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 52.1% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Du Fernandes
(Injury)
Elias
(Injury)
Marcondes
(Injury)
Ralf
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ponte Preta?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Vila Nova?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Ponte Preta were as follows:
23.07.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
2:0
15.09.2023
Vila Nova
-
Ponte Preta
1:1
28.05.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:0
08.10.2022
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
