Result
2:1
11/11/2024 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 551 | 358 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 483 | 274 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Elvis (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 1, Alesson ⚽, Junior Todinho (A),
- 44', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Emerson Santos ↓,
- 57', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 57', Iago Dias 🟥,
- 59', Joao Lucas ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 61', Elvis ↓, Everton Brito ↑,
- 66', Emerson Urso ↓, Caique ↑,
- 71', Hudson ↓, Castro ↑,
- 76', Rian ↓, Apodi ↑,
- 76', Junior Todinho ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
- 76', Arilson ↓, Du Fernandes ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Alesson ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
- 86', Luiz Felipe ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 87', Renato 🟨,
- 87', Renato ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 88', Mateus Silva 🟨,
- 90', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
- 90+2', Nilson Junior 🟨,
- 90+5', Dodo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
48.1% | Draw
28.7% | Ponte Preta
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vila Nova - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.74) |
3.27 ↓
(3.48) |
4.01 ↓
(4.67) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vila Nova: 52.1% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Du Fernandes
(Injury)
Elias
(Injury)
Marcondes
(Injury)
Ralf
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ponte Preta?
Vila Nova has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Vila Nova?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Ponte Preta were as follows:
23.07.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
2:0
15.09.2023
Vila Nova
-
Ponte Preta
1:1
28.05.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:0
08.10.2022
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
| 2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 42:30 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
| 11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
