Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Dubickas E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Capuano M. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
- 57', Tempre M. ↓, Paolieri L. ↑,
- 62', Orellana M. ↓, Brignola E. ↑,
- 63', Durmush M. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Scaccabarozzi J. ⚽,
- 70', Vallocchia A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 75', Ladinetti R. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
- 75', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Pietrelli R. ↑,
- 75', Bassanini R. ↓, Ianesi S. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Paolieri L. (Own goal),
- 87', Martella B. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
- 88', Manfredonia M. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
- 90+3', Battimelli G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ternana
63.2% | Draw
23.5% | Pontedera
13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3%)
Ternana - Pontedera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.37) |
3.96 ↓
(4.2) |
7 ↓
(8.46) |
7.4%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ternana - Pontedera?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pontedera will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Ternana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ternana is the clear favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Pontedera?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Ternana?
Pontedera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Pontedera were as follows:
06.01.2025
Ternana
-
Pontedera
0:0
30.08.2024
Pontedera
-
Ternana
1:2
Latest results of Ternana
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Forli | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Pineto | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Carpi | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 12 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | -1 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
