Ternana vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Ternana - Pontedera
Result
2:1
23/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
125
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Dubickas E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Capuano M. , Maestrelli A. ,
  • 57', Tempre M. , Paolieri L. ,
  • 62', Orellana M. , Brignola E. ,
  • 63', Durmush M. , Ndrecka A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Scaccabarozzi J. ,
  • 70', Vallocchia A. , Leonardi S. ,
  • 75', Ladinetti R. , Faggi F. ,
  • 75', Scaccabarozzi J. , Pietrelli R. ,
  • 75', Bassanini R. , Ianesi S. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Paolieri L. (Own goal),
  • 87', Martella B. , Bianay Balcot C. ,
  • 88', Manfredonia M. , Battimelli G. ,
  • 90+3', Battimelli G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ternana
63.2%
Draw
23.5%
Pontedera
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.3% 21.9% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 20.8% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Ternana - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.37)
    3.96
    (4.2)
    7
    (8.46)
    7.4%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ternana - Pontedera?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Pontedera will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Ternana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ternana is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Pontedera were as follows:
    06.01.2025 Ternana - Pontedera 0:0
    30.08.2024 Pontedera - Ternana 1:2
    Latest results of Ternana
    20.09.2025 Sassari Torres - Ternana 1:1
    14.09.2025 Ternana - Carpi 2:0
    07.09.2025 Rimini - Ternana 1:4
    31.08.2025 Ternana - Ascoli 0:2
    22.08.2025 Livorno - Ternana 1:0
    Latest results of Pontedera
    19.09.2025 Pontedera - Campobasso 0:4
    13.09.2025 Pontedera - Rimini 2:1
    07.09.2025 Pineto - Pontedera 1:1
    29.08.2025 Pontedera - Arezzo 0:3
    23.08.2025 Sassari Torres - Pontedera 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo870116:61021
    2Ascoli862015:11420
    3Ravenna760114:8618
    4Sambenedettese842212:8414
    5Ternana841311:8313
    6Campobasso833214:9512
    7Gubbio73316:5112
    8Pianese83328:7112
    9Juventus U23732212:12011
    10Guidonia73135:6-110
    11Forli73047:709
    12Vis Pesaro81528:808
    13Carpi72237:10-38
    14Pineto82249:12-38
    15Livorno82154:11-77
    16Pontedera72146:13-77
    17Torres81255:11-65
    18Bra81257:14-75
    19Perugia70346:11-53
    20Rimini82155:10-5-4

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation