Pontevedra vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ribeiro A. ,
  • 22', Miguel 🟨,
  • 41', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gonzalez A. , Resende J. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Zalaya A. ,
  • 59', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 65', Macias L. , Garay B. ,
  • 72', Gorostidi A. , Pascu ,
  • 72', Alvaro J. , Noriega J. ,
  • 72', Gimenez A. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', Dacosta R. , Concha D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Resende J. ,
  • 89', Pujol E. , Garcia S. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pontevedra
37.2%
Draw
31.6%
Ferrol
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 30.1% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.1% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pontevedra - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.24)
    2.85
    (3.09)
    2.94
    (3.26)
    10.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pontevedra - Ferrol?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Pontevedra (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 0.
    • Pontevedra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferrol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontevedra - Ferrol were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Pontevedra - Ferrol 1:5
    19.02.2023 Ferrol - Pontevedra 2:0
    04.12.2022 Pontevedra - Ferrol 0:2
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    Latest results of Ferrol
    21.12.2025 Real Avilés - Ferrol 2:1
    06.12.2025 Cacereño - Ferrol 0:1
    02.12.2025 Ferrol - Huesca 0:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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