Pontevedra vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
88
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Ribeiro A. ,
  • 22', Miguel 🟨,
  • 41', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gonzalez A. , Resende J. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Zalaya A. ,
  • 59', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 65', Macias L. , Garay B. ,
  • 72', Gorostidi A. , Pascu ,
  • 72', Alvaro J. , Noriega J. ,
  • 72', Gimenez A. , Escobar A. ,
  • 72', Dacosta R. , Concha D. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Resende J. ,
  • 89', Pujol E. , Garcia S. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pontevedra
37.2%
Draw
31.6%
Ferrol
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 30.1% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.1% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pontevedra - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.24)
    2.85
    (3.09)
    2.94
    (3.26)
    10.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pontevedra - Ferrol?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Pontevedra (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pontevedra (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 0.
    • Pontevedra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ferrol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pontevedra - Ferrol were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Pontevedra - Ferrol 1:5
    19.02.2023 Ferrol - Pontevedra 2:0
    04.12.2022 Pontevedra - Ferrol 0:2
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    Latest results of Ferrol
    21.12.2025 Real Avilés - Ferrol 2:1
    06.12.2025 Cacereño - Ferrol 0:1
    02.12.2025 Ferrol - Huesca 0:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida311281141:44-344
    11Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    12Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation