Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Bosch M. 🟨,
- 35', Gomez D. 🟨,
- 38', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Presa K. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
- 58', Samanes S. 🟨,
- 60', Celorio N. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
- 71', Samanes S. 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
- 73', Garay B. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 74', Gallar A. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 74', Unzueta I. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 76', Gil A. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Pino Y. ⚽,
- 80', Comparada Gonzalez A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Reniero N. ⚽,
- 89', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez J. ↓, Teofilovic O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pontevedra 43.3% | Draw 31.1% | Lugo 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Pontevedra - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.24) |
2.91 ↓ (3.09) |
3.53 ↑ (3.26) |
9.6% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pontevedra - Lugo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Pontevedra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pontevedra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontevedra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Lugo?
Pontevedra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Pontevedra?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontevedra - Lugo were as follows:
22.11.2025
Lugo
-
Pontevedra
1:0
17.08.2024
Pontevedra
-
Lugo
1:0
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation