Result
0:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (467/560) | 66% (156/235) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (467/560) | 66% (156/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (108/158) | 56% (29/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/34) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Neumann P. 🟨,
- 39', Leonard M. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Headley J. ⚽, Croasdale R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Humphreys C. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
- 46', Ducksch M. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
- 46', Fujimoto K. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
- 46', Sampsted A. ↓, Cochrane A. ↑,
- 57', Faal M. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 61', Doyle T. 🟨,
- 67', Dykes L. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 69', Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
- 77', Headley J. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 77', Doyle T. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
67% | Draw
20.4% | Port Vale
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Birmingham City - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.35) |
4.64 ↓
(5.2) |
7.57 ↓
(8.04) |
5.3%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Birmingham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Muscle Injury)
Stockley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R.
(Muscle Injury)
- We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Port Vale?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Birmingham City?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Port Vale were as follows:
26.07.2025
Port Vale
-
Birmingham City
0:2
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Port Vale
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 9 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 13 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 15 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 27 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 29 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 31 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 33 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 34 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 35 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 37 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 39 | Everton | Bye | |
| 40 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 41 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 43 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 44 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 45 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 46 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 49 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 51 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 53 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 54 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 55 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 57 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 59 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 60 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 5 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 7 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 8 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 14 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 16 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 19 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 22 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 25 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 26 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Swansea | Nottingham | |
| 3 | Lincoln | Chelsea | |
| 4 | Tottenham | Doncaster | |
| 5 | Brentford | Aston Villa | |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | |
| 7 | Liverpool | Southampton | |
| 8 | Newcastle | Bradford City | |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | |
| 10 | Wolves | Everton | |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | |
| 12 | Burnley | Cardiff | |
| 13 | Wrexham | Reading | |
| 14 | Wigan | Wycombe | |
| 15 | Barnsley | Brighton | |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | |
