Colchester United vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Colchester United - Port Vale
Result
2:1
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.23
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1416
Offsides
10
Fouls
1614
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2927
Touches in the Opposition Box
1421
Passes
69% (211/304)75% (329/441)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)54% (72/134)
Crosses
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Tackles
58% (14/24)60% (15/25)
Clearances Total
3129
Interceptions
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Tovide S. ,
  • 43', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tovide S. , Taylor L. ,
  • 63', Chislett E. , Stockley J. ,
  • 64', Kyle John , Umolu J. ,
  • 75', Payne J. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 80', Hunt R. 🟨,
  • 82', Clark M. , Richards R. ,
  • 82', Croasdale R. , Sang T. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Richards R. ,
  • 85', Iandolo E. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kelleher F. , Taylor L. (A),

Chances of winning


Colchester United
42.5%
Draw
32.3%
Port Vale
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 29.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.8% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Colchester United - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.34)
    2.92
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (3.12)
    6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Colchester United - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6%78.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Colchester won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Port Vale were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Port Vale - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League