Colchester United vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.23
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1416
Offsides
10
Fouls
1614
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2927
Touches in the Opposition Box
1421
Passes
69% (211/304)75% (329/441)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)54% (72/134)
Crosses
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Tackles
58% (14/24)60% (15/25)
Clearances Total
3129
Interceptions
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Tovide S. ,
  • 43', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tovide S. , Taylor L. ,
  • 63', Chislett E. , Stockley J. ,
  • 64', Kyle John , Umolu J. ,
  • 75', Payne J. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 80', Hunt R. 🟨,
  • 82', Clark M. , Richards R. ,
  • 82', Croasdale R. , Sang T. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Richards R. ,
  • 85', Iandolo E. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kelleher F. , Taylor L. (A),

Chances of winning


Colchester United
42.5%
Draw
32.3%
Port Vale
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 29.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.8% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Colchester United - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.34)
    2.92
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (3.12)
    6%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6%78.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Colchester won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Port Vale were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Port Vale - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League