Colchester United vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 29
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.23
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1416
Offsides
10
Fouls
1614
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2927
Touches in the Opposition Box
1421
Passes
69% (211/304)75% (329/441)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)54% (72/134)
Crosses
23% (3/13)27% (4/15)
Tackles
58% (14/24)60% (15/25)
Clearances Total
3129
Interceptions
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Tovide S. ,
  • 43', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tovide S. , Taylor L. ,
  • 63', Chislett E. , Stockley J. ,
  • 64', Kyle John , Umolu J. ,
  • 75', Payne J. , Tucker J. ,
  • 77', Clark M. 🟨,
  • 80', Hunt R. 🟨,
  • 82', Clark M. , Richards R. ,
  • 82', Croasdale R. , Sang T. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Richards R. ,
  • 85', Iandolo E. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Kelleher F. , Taylor L. (A),

Chances of winning


Colchester United
42.5%
Draw
32.3%
Port Vale
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 29.7% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.8% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Colchester United - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.34)
    2.92
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (3.12)
    6%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Colchester United - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6%78.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Colchester won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - Port Vale were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Port Vale - Colchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Colchester United
    Latest results of Port Vale
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One