Lincoln City vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.38
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
64% (247/383)	64% (221/343)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.33
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
2	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
15	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
64% (247/383)	64% (221/343)
Long passes
30% (26/86)	45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
42% (60/143)	49% (55/112)
Crosses
11% (2/18)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.52
Throw-ins
32	21
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
59	84
Clearances
39	34
Interceptions
15	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.33	0.38
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Stockley J. ↓, Lamin M. ↑,
66', Obikwu J. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
77', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
80', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
84', Ojo F. 🟨,
89', Kyle John 🟨,
90', Street R. 🟨,
90+2', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+2', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
90+5', House B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
47.6%

Draw
28%

Port Vale
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Lincoln City - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	6.2% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Port Vale?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
Lincoln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Parks C. (Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Port Vale?

Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Lincoln City?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Port Vale were as follows:

24.02.2024 Port Vale - Lincoln City 0:2

11.11.2023 Lincoln City - Port Vale 1:1

15.04.2023 Lincoln City - Port Vale 3:2

29.10.2022 Port Vale - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

22.11.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City 3:2 ✺

15.11.2025 Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Rotherham United - Lincoln City 3:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Salford City - Lincoln City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

22.11.2025 Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle 0:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Port Vale - Maldon & Tiptree 5:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship