Lincoln City vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.38
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
64% (247/383)	64% (221/343)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75	0.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.33
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
2	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
15	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
64% (247/383)	64% (221/343)
Long passes
30% (26/86)	45% (33/73)
Passes in final third
42% (60/143)	49% (55/112)
Crosses
11% (2/18)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.52
Throw-ins
32	21
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
77% (10/13)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
59	84
Clearances
39	34
Interceptions
15	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.33	0.38
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Stockley J. ↓, Lamin M. ↑,
66', Obikwu J. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
77', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
80', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
84', Ojo F. 🟨,
89', Kyle John 🟨,
90', Street R. 🟨,
90+2', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
90+2', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
90+5', House B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
47.6%

Draw
28%

Port Vale
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

26.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Lincoln City - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.36 ↑ (3.26)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	6.2% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Port Vale?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
Lincoln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Lincoln: Parks C. (Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Port Vale?

Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Lincoln City?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Port Vale were as follows:

24.02.2024 Port Vale - Lincoln City 0:2

11.11.2023 Lincoln City - Port Vale 1:1

15.04.2023 Lincoln City - Port Vale 3:2

29.10.2022 Port Vale - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

22.11.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Lincoln City 3:2 ✺

15.11.2025 Lincoln City - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Barnsley - Lincoln City 0:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Rotherham United - Lincoln City 3:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Salford City - Lincoln City 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

22.11.2025 Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle 0:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Port Vale - Wycombe Wanderers 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Port Vale - Maldon & Tiptree 5:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	34	22	6	6	68:36	32	72
2	Lincoln	34	21	8	5	63:31	32	71
3	Bolton	35	16	13	6	50:34	16	61
4	Bradford City	34	17	7	10	43:38	5	58
5	Stockport County	34	16	8	10	47:43	4	56
6	Huddersfield	35	15	7	13	55:46	9	52
7	Reading	34	13	12	9	50:44	6	51
8	Stevenage	33	14	9	10	37:35	2	51
9	Wycombe	34	13	11	10	49:36	13	50
10	Luton	34	13	8	13	43:41	2	47
11	Peterborough	35	14	4	17	50:49	1	46
12	Plymouth	34	14	4	16	49:50	-1	46
13	Barnsley	31	12	8	11	53:53	0	44
14	AFC Wimbledon	33	12	7	14	41:48	-7	43
15	Exeter	33	11	8	14	38:39	-1	41
16	Mansfield	32	10	10	12	39:37	2	40
17	Burton	34	10	9	15	38:49	-11	39
18	Doncaster	33	11	6	16	36:55	-19	39
19	Wigan	33	9	10	14	35:46	-11	37
20	Blackpool	34	10	7	17	40:54	-14	37
21	Leyton Orient	33	10	6	17	44:56	-12	36
22	Northampton	35	9	8	18	31:47	-16	35
23	Rotherham	33	9	7	17	33:47	-14	34
24	Port Vale	32	6	9	17	26:44	-18	27

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two