Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 18
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (247/383) | 64% (221/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (247/383) | 64% (221/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (26/86) | 45% (33/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (60/143) | 49% (55/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 84 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Reach A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Stockley J. ↓, Lamin M. ↑,
- 66', Obikwu J. ↓, Street R. ↑,
- 66', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 77', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
- 80', Draper F. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 84', Ojo F. 🟨,
- 89', Kyle John 🟨,
- 90', Street R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 90+2', Curtis R. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 90+5', House B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City 47.6% | Draw 28% | Port Vale 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lincoln City - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.07) |
3.36 ↑ (3.26) |
3.84 ↑ (3.55) |
6.2% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
Lincoln City will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
- Lincoln has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Port Vale is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- Lincoln will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Parks C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Port Vale?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Lincoln City?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Port Vale were as follows:
24.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Lincoln City
0:2
11.11.2023
Lincoln City
-
Port Vale
1:1
15.04.2023
Lincoln City
-
Port Vale
3:2
29.10.2022
Port Vale
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 35 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 31 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 6 | Bolton | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 | Luton | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 | Wigan | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 24 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 24 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 24 |
| 15 | Northampton | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:23 | 0 | 22 |
| 17 | Reading | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 22 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 22 |
| 19 | Burton | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 22 |
| 20 | Exeter | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 16 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 19:32 | -13 | 16 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two