Port Vale vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Port Vale - Northampton Town
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Port Vale
52.5%
Draw
26.6%
Northampton Town
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 28.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Port Vale - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.85)
    3.53
    (3.49)
    4.57
    (4.12)
    5.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
    • Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northampton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Port Vale is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Northampton Town - Port Vale 2:0
    16.09.2023 Port Vale - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

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