Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/373) | 58% (169/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/373) | 58% (169/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 22% (19/87) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 39% (44/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
- 29', Thorniley J. 🟨,
- 39', Headley J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Headley J. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
- 46', Wheatley E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
- 62', Brown D. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 62', Shipley J. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 68', Fornah T. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 71', Garrity B. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
- 88', Cole D. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 89', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
51.2% | Draw
28.1% | Northampton Town
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Port Vale - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.85) |
3.32 ↓
(3.49) |
4.56 ↑
(4.12) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
- In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Northampton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Port Vale is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T.
(Inactive)
Edwards K.
(Inactive)
List E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Northampton Town?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Port Vale?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Northampton Town were as follows:
01.04.2024
Northampton Town
-
Port Vale
2:0
16.09.2023
Port Vale
-
Northampton Town
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
