Port Vale vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Port Vale - Northampton Town
Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
68% (254/373)58% (169/291)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.23
Total shots
86
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
68% (254/373)58% (169/291)
Long passes
48% (40/83)22% (19/87)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)39% (44/114)
Crosses
10% (2/20)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.63
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1211
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6743
Clearances
4432
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.230.86
Goals prevented
0.230.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 29', Thorniley J. 🟨,
  • 39', Headley J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Headley J. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 46', Wheatley E. , Vale J. ,
  • 62', Brown D. , Stockley J. ,
  • 62', Shipley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 68', Fornah T. , Swyer K. ,
  • 71', Garrity B. , Hall G. ,
  • 88', Cole D. , Paton R. ,
  • 89', Guinness-Walker N. , Perkins J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
51.2%
Draw
28.1%
Northampton Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 28.7% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Port Vale - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.85)
    3.32
    (3.49)
    4.56
    (4.12)
    6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
    • In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northampton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Port Vale is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Gordon L. (Injury) Kyle John (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Clark M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T. (Inactive) Edwards K. (Inactive) List E. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Northampton Town - Port Vale 2:0
    16.09.2023 Port Vale - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

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