Port Vale vs Northampton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
68% (254/373)58% (169/291)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.860.23
Total shots
86
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
68% (254/373)58% (169/291)
Long passes
48% (40/83)22% (19/87)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)39% (44/114)
Crosses
10% (2/20)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.63
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1211
Tackles
67% (8/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
6743
Clearances
4432
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.230.86
Goals prevented
0.230.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Lawrence-Gabriel J. 🟨,
  • 29', Thorniley J. 🟨,
  • 39', Headley J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Headley J. , Croasdale R. ,
  • 46', Wheatley E. , Vale J. ,
  • 62', Brown D. , Stockley J. ,
  • 62', Shipley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 68', Fornah T. , Swyer K. ,
  • 71', Garrity B. , Hall G. ,
  • 88', Cole D. , Paton R. ,
  • 89', Guinness-Walker N. , Perkins J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
51.2%
Draw
28.1%
Northampton Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 28.7% 21.2%

Port Vale - Northampton Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.86
(1.85)
3.32
(3.49)
4.56
(4.12)
6%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Northampton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Northampton (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Northampton (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
    • In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Northampton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Port Vale is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Gordon L. (Injury) Kyle John (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Clark M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Eaves T. (Inactive) Edwards K. (Inactive) List E. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Northampton Town were as follows:
    01.04.2024 Northampton Town - Port Vale 2:0
    16.09.2023 Port Vale - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    06.09.2025 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 2:3
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff30196555:292663
    2Lincoln30187552:302261
    3Bolton311510641:291255
    4Stockport County30158742:35753
    5Huddersfield311471053:421149
    6Bradford City29147837:33449
    7Luton301361140:35545
    8Peterborough311421545:41444
    9Wycombe301110940:31943
    10Reading301110943:39443
    11Stevenage29119931:30142
    12Mansfield291091037:32539
    13Exeter291151333:30338
    14AFC Wimbledon291151332:38-638
    15Barnsley271071044:46-237
    16Plymouth301141537:46-937
    17Blackpool30961537:44-733
    18Leyton Orient30961540:49-933
    19Northampton30961529:39-1033
    20Doncaster30961533:50-1733
    21Burton30881433:45-1232
    22Wigan307101331:42-1131
    23Rotherham29871431:43-1231
    24Port Vale28571622:40-1822

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