Result
1:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (251/350) | 67% (181/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (251/350) | 67% (181/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (27/73) | 26% (16/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (86/152) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (9/43) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 96 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.36 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Levitt D. (A),
- 45', Craig M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perkins J. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Morris J. ⚽, Ballard D. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Eaves T. ⚽, Campbell D. (A),
- 65', Guinness-Walker N. 🟨,
- 70', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 72', Dennis W. 🟨,
- 77', Fawunmi F. ↓, Archibald T. ↑,
- 84', Levitt D. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 89', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,
- 89', Taylor T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
33.6% | Draw
28.5% | Leyton Orient
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Northampton Town - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.66) |
3.3 ↑
(3.23) |
2.46 ↑
(2.45) |
6.6%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
- Recent performances by Northampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leyton Orient has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Northampton has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Vale J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Leyton Orient?
Northampton Town has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Northampton Town?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Leyton Orient were as follows:
30.08.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Northampton Town
0:1
08.03.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Northampton Town
1:2
19.10.2024
Northampton Town
-
Leyton Orient
1:0
13.02.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Northampton Town
4:3
24.10.2023
Northampton Town
-
Leyton Orient
2:2
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
